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Stats as of
lucky.grouse
-$293.04
- Tracked Trades
- 55
- First Seen
- Jul 3, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 1, 2026
- Best In College football
- 36% won · 11 settled · +$1.6K
lucky.grouse is a Kalshi trader with 55 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 17 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, -$293.04 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Washington wins on Nov 1.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $28.0K
- Typical trade
- $301.79
- Avg entry
- 41¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,263
Profit over time
+$1.6K-$4.3K
Jul 3Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1712%6%-5 pts
20 to 40¢1031%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢2750%48%-2 pts
Over 80¢181%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $95147%-$728.24
$95 to $3021423%-$1.1K
$344 to $7841450%+$1.2K
$867 to $2.7K1350%+$275.06
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football1140%+$2.0K
Baseball2533%-$631.84
Soccer1225%+$448.05
NFL333%-$1.3K
Parlays10%-$1.7K
NBA1100%+$880.00
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied lucky.grouse
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$268.99
Profit
on $3,100.00 staked
13-18
Record
42% win rate
-9%
Return
+$0.00-$442.12
Aug 17Oct 26
-$707.69
Max drawdown
427% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.85×
Profit factor
$1.5K won vs $1.8K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 9 trades
By category
other5 settled+7%
sports26 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Washington wins
Nov 1, 2 fills
Georgia wins by over 17.5 points
Oct 31, 3 fills
Georgia wins by over 17.5 points
Oct 31, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.0KWashington wins$1.7K on Yes at 30¢, Nov 1
- 2+$1.5KMexico vs England: To Advance$1.4K on Yes at 49¢, Jul 5
- 3+$1.1KTexas wins by over 14.5 points$1.4K on No at 54¢, Oct 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Georgia wins by over 17.5 points54¢30%-$2.1K
New York Y wins39¢50%-$1.9K
yes Spain advances,no Goal Diff Reg Time: France wins by more than 1.5 goals47¢10%-$1.7K
New York Y vs Baltimore Winner?48¢3100%+$1.5K
Mexico vs England: To Advance49¢1100%+$1.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 4Nov 1
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$1.3K
Aug 2026-$1.3K
Oct 2026+$847.49
Nov 2026+$1.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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