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Stats as of

luckygecko

-$2.3K
Tracked Trades
410
First Seen
Jun 27, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Parlays
55% won · 40 settled · +$9.0K

luckygecko is a Kalshi trader with 410 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 180 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, -$2.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Miami (OH) wins on Nov 4.

Win rate
60%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$322.9K
Typical trade
$487.56
Avg entry
54¢
Kalshi rank
#6,403

Profit over time

+$15.0K-$6.0K
Jun 27Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢495%0%-5 pts
20 to 40¢5033%29%-4 pts
40 to 60¢13350%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢8368%67%-1 pts
Over 80¢6391%81%-10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1609555%-$310.88
$169 to $4899548%-$562.10
$489 to $9659454%+$3.3K
$966 to $21K9464%-$4.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Baseball9860%+$2.3K
NFL3363%-$7.0K
Tennis6443%-$389.43
College football4158%-$3.4K
Parlays5655%+$9.0K
Soccer4050%-$2.6K

Side taken

Yes 58%42% No

If you had copied luckygecko

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$700.54
Profit
on $14,200.00 staked
84-58
Record
59% win rate
+5%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time142 settled trades
+$1.1K-$100.00
Aug 3Nov 2
-$786.48
Max drawdown
56% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$6.5K won vs $5.8K lost
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
52 trades

By category

other85 settled+18%
sports57 settled-14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $2.1K

The markets luckygecko is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what luckygecko is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Miami (OH) wins
Nov 4
Yes93¢$1.4K-$1.4K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FOMPQ5VX5AAI2WDW-T76QGDPC4
Nov 4
Yes72¢$1.0K+$400.83
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XYB3SJW2AZG2PIX7-KGPBUTCKS
Nov 3
Sold Nosold 94¢$1.2KExited
See every position across 237 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Flavio Cobolli wins
    $946.80 on Yes at 20¢, Aug 20
    +$3.8K
  2. 2
    yes Over 36.5 points scored,yes Anthony Wint
    $2.4K on Yes at 48¢, Aug 22
    +$2.6K
  3. 3
    Will Tommy Paul win at least 2.5 more games than Flavio Cobolli?
    $2.5K on No at 54¢, Aug 20
    +$2.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Ohio St. win the College Football Playoff National Championship?13¢2+$0.00
Will Philadelphia win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?1+$0.00
San Francisco vs Los Angeles Pro Football game: LA Chargers wins?53¢20%-$4.8K
Washington vs Texas Winner?99¢1100%+$121.11
Will the Brazil win the 2026 Men's World Cup?1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$629.93
Jul 2026-$2.5K
Aug 2026+$7.7K
Sep 2026-$4.3K
Oct 2026-$2.1K
Nov 2026-$412.87

Kalshi leaderboards

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