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Stats as of
luckystrike4886
+$5.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,825
- First Seen
- Jun 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 17, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 5% won · 491 settled · +$5.8K
luckystrike4886 is a Kalshi trader with 1,825 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 251 wins and 911 losses on settled markets, $5.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DFKIP4ZOPF2MT3Z6-BDHULVR2R on Oct 17.
- Win rate
- 22%
- Return on settled
- +11%
- Money traded
- $203.3K
- Typical trade
- $22
- Avg entry
- 5¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,308
Profit over time
+$11.0K-$1.7K
Jun 21Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6827%4%-3 pts
20 to 40¢28429%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢39751%39%-12 pts
60 to 80¢21668%69%+1 pts
Over 80¢24690%75%-15 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $845727%-$182
$8 to $2245624%-$1.9K
$22 to $4845612%-$2.2K
$48 to $6.8K45628%+$10.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays6075%+$5.8K
Soccer51030%+$1.3K
Ethereum49041%-$234
WNBA5671%-$342
Baseball1910%-$773
NFL2155%+$495
Side taken
Yes 62%38% No
If you had copied luckystrike4886
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$3809
Profit
on $47400 staked
55-419
Record
12% win rate
-8%
Return
+$9.3K-$6.8K
Jul 27Oct 12
-$19.2K
Max drawdown
195% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.91×
Profit factor
$38.1K won vs $41.9K lost
-1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
12% won at 13¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 103
- Deepest drawdown
- 419 trades
By category
other273 settled+6%
crypto54 settled-15%
sports147 settled-31%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DFKIP4ZOPF2MT3Z6-BDHULVR2R
Oct 17
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026LDEF5EV3ZX274JAN-52M5CAKKZ
Oct 14
yes Felix Auger-Aliassime,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Sonay Kartal,yes Maja Chwalinska,yes Karolina Muchova,yes Nikola Bartunkova,yes Diana Shnaider,yes Elina Svitolina,yes Katie Volynets
Oct 14
Biggest wins
- 1+$6.6Kyes Milwaukee,yes Philadelphia,yes New York Y,yes Boston,yes Chicago WS,yes Houston,yes Arizona,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D$93 on Yes at 1¢, Aug 20
- 2+$4.2Kyes Toronto,yes Washington,yes Atlanta,yes Tampa Bay,yes Milwaukee$281 on Yes at 6¢, Aug 29
- 3+$1.5KWill Switzerland win the 2nd Half?$827 on Yes at 36¢, Jul 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Central Michigan,yes Grambling St.,yes Texas A&M,yes UNLV,yes University at Albany,yes Holy Cross,yes Howard,yes Stephen F. Austin,yes James Madison,yes Bryant,yes Robert Morris,yes Georgia St.,yes Ohio,yes Oregon St.,yes Ohio St.,yes Tennessee Tech,yes South Carolina,yes South Alabama,yes Montana,yes UT Rio Grande Valley,yes UTSA,yes Florida St.,yes USC,yes Gardner-Webb,yes Wofford,yes North Dakota St.1¢30%-$54
yes Alabama,yes SMU,yes Rhode Island,yes Lehigh,yes Merrimack,yes Wisconsin,yes Kansas,yes Air Force,yes Notre Dame,yes Princeton,yes Wake Forest,yes Syracuse,yes Houston,yes Presbyterian,yes Central Connecticut St.,yes Iowa St.0¢20%-$28
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026E1BF1DB2020-8B89DAF03C71+$0
yes Toledo,yes Idaho St.,yes Presbyterian,yes Duke,yes East Tennessee St.,yes Tennessee Tech,yes Indiana,yes Utah,yes Dayton,yes Appalachian St.,yes Princeton,yes Bowling Green,yes Florida,yes St. Thomas,yes Texas,yes Missouri,yes Memphis,yes Oklahoma St.,yes North Dakota,yes Virginia Tech,yes Youngstown St.1¢20%-$66
Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?33¢6959%+$2.8K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 20Oct 17
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$1.2K
Jul 2026+$2.2K
Aug 2026+$9.4K
Sep 2026-$2.3K
Oct 2026-$2.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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