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Stats as of
melted.guppy
+$11.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 226
- First Seen
- Mar 27, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 2, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 77% won · 104 settled · +$8.1K
melted.guppy is a Kalshi trader with 226 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 128 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, $11.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: USD/JPY price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 2.
- Win rate
- 78%
- Return on settled
- +11%
- Money traded
- $122.0K
- Typical trade
- $288.36
- Avg entry
- 69¢
- Kalshi rank
- #660
Profit over time
+$14.6K+$0.00
Mar 27Nov 2
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢197%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢1629%0%-29 pts
40 to 60¢3255%69%+14 pts
60 to 80¢8871%80%+9 pts
Over 80¢7190%91%+0 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $775764%-$27.80
$78 to $2935777%+$831.32
$300 to $7275683%+$2.2K
$733 to $5.3K5683%+$8.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin14177%+$8.1K
Commodities4184%+$1.6K
US elections450%-$708.35
Currencies475%-$375.30
Ethereum4100%+$991.77
Soccer2100%+$279.60
Side taken
Yes 65%35% No
If you had copied melted.guppy
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$11.82
Profit
on $4,600.00 staked
34-12
Record
74% win rate
+0%
Return
+$425.07+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2
-$557.14
Max drawdown
98% below peak
0.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.01×
Profit factor
$1.2K won vs $1.2K lost
+9.3 pts
Edge vs implied
74% won at 65¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 4
- Deepest drawdown
- 7 trades
By category
crypto10 settled+20%
finance25 settled+8%
sports7 settled-57%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
USD/JPY price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 2, 21 fills
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?
Nov 2, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 1, 5 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.3KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$5.3K on Yes at 70¢, Mar 27
- 2+$1.8KBitcoin price range on Mar 27, 2026?$2.6K on Yes at 60¢, Mar 27
- 3+$1.2KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.0K on No at 62¢, Mar 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?73¢7678%+$4.5K
Bitcoin price on Mar 27, 2026?76¢3080%+$1.9K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?72¢2988%+$1.5K
Bitcoin price range on Mar 27, 2026?71¢4100%+$2.3K
Silver price up in next 15 mins?72¢7100%+$1.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 5Nov 2
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$9.9K
Apr 2026-$109.42
May 2026+$91.03
Aug 2026+$2.5K
Sep 2026-$192.44
Oct 2026-$28.94
Nov 2026-$1.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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