rivomarkets

youknowthatguy

+$909
Tracked Trades
1,348
First Seen
Jan 31, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
147

youknowthatguy is a Kalshi trader with 1,348 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 272 wins and 327 losses on settled markets, $909 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26SEP19UGAARK-UGA7 on Sep 19.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$349.7K
Typical trade
$49
Copy score
40/100
Kalshi rank
#2,238

Profit over time

+$15.6K-$1.8K
Jan 31Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1619%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢18831%17%-14 pts
40 to 60¢46150%47%-3 pts
60 to 80¢47669%75%+6 pts
Over 80¢6288%53%-35 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1033729%-$205
$10 to $4933732%-$1.1K
$49 to $25933747%-$1.7K
$260 to $8.5K33763%+$3.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture8053%-$4.9K
Sports6167%+$3.5K

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied youknowthatguy

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$10788
Profit
on $49400 staked
217-277
Record
44% win rate
-22%
Return
197 still open
Profit over time494 settled trades
+$1.1K-$10.8K
Aug 3Sep 14
-$12.6K
Max drawdown
1080% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.61×
Profit factor
$16.9K won vs $27.7K lost
-4.6 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 49¢ avg
Longest losing streak
58
Deepest drawdown
432 trades

By category

sports48 settled+16%
culture40 settled-14%
other406 settled-27%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

56 open positions worth $54.9K

The markets youknowthatguy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what youknowthatguy is holding

Recent positions

KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26SEP19UGAARK-UGA7
Sep 19, avg 58¢
BUYYES$1.1K-$1.1K
Georgia wins 3Q by over 6.5 points
Sep 19, avg 1¢
SELLNO$13Open
KXNCAAF3QSPREAD-26SEP19UGAARK-UGA7
Sep 19, avg 63¢
BUYYES$668+$392
See every position across 344 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Moez Echargui wins
    $8.8K on Yes, Sep 10
    +$5.2K
  2. 2
    Ohio St. wins by over 14.5 points
    $4.3K on No, Sep 13
    +$3.7K
  3. 3
    New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?
    $2.4K on Yes, Sep 10
    +$3.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Moez Echargui wins1071%+$3.8K
Elena Rybakina wins1675%+$692
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins?50%-$2.2K
Max Alcala Gurri wins5100%+$2.3K
Filippo Mazzola wins4100%+$228

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$1
Feb 2026-$340
Mar 2026+$2.9K
Apr 2026-$1.9K
May 2026-$2.4K
Sep 2026+$2.7K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy youknowthatguy on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.