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Stats as of
mike40
+$2.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 283
- First Seen
- Aug 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 30, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 87% won · 170 settled · +$3.0K
mike40 is a Kalshi trader with 283 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 182 wins and 24 losses on settled markets, $2.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 30.
- Win rate
- 88%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $173.2K
- Typical trade
- $545.85
- Avg entry
- 93¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,991
Profit over time
+$3.2K+$0.00
Aug 18Oct 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1611%14%+3 pts
20 to 40¢1833%60%+27 pts
40 to 60¢2149%42%-8 pts
60 to 80¢2269%92%+23 pts
Over 80¢20695%96%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $177161%+$164.93
$17 to $5467194%+$1.1K
$548 to $9917198%+$2.1K
$992 to $2.4K7094%-$520.13
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin24287%+$3.0K
Commodities3397%+$614.49
Ethereum575%-$844.13
NFL2100%+$113.27
Solana1100%+$14.22
Side taken
Yes 45%55% No
If you had copied mike40
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$622.76
Profit
on $18,300.00 staked
164-19
Record
90% win rate
+3%
Return
+$622.76+$0.00
Aug 17Oct 26
-$381.58
Max drawdown
86% below peak
1.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.33×
Profit factor
$2.5K won vs $1.9K lost
+3.4 pts
Edge vs implied
90% won at 86¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 2
- Deepest drawdown
- 33 trades
By category
crypto150 settled+3%
finance27 settled+3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$604.59BTC price up in next 15 mins?$403.06 on Yes at 40¢, Sep 9
- 2+$225.72BTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.4K on No at 91¢, Oct 29
- 3+$224.32BTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.3K on No at 91¢, Oct 29
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?93¢24287%+$3.0K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?95¢2695%+$296.14
ETH price up in next 15 mins?95¢575%-$844.13
Silver price up in next 15 mins?95¢4100%+$184.43
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?95¢3100%+$133.92
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 2Oct 30
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$1.5K
Sep 2026+$183.98
Oct 2026+$1.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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