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Stats as of

outer.koi5040

+$6.7K
Tracked Trades
226
First Seen
Jun 11, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 9, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
46% won · 98 settled · +$3.7K

outer.koi5040 is a Kalshi trader with 226 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 61 wins and 87 losses on settled markets, $6.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XPT2D2R63XKBLE7J-HGCWYHKPY on Nov 9.

Win rate
41%
Return on settled
+25%
Money traded
$45.2K
Typical trade
$72.51
Avg entry
45¢
Kalshi rank
#1,193

Profit over time

+$6.7K-$285.00
Jun 11Nov 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢458%10%+1 pts
20 to 40¢6330%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢5451%53%+2 pts
60 to 80¢4569%88%+19 pts
Over 80¢1992%83%-9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $245715%-$77.48
$24 to $735738%+$45.77
$75 to $2305657%+$1.1K
$230 to $2.5K5669%+$5.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin16145%+$3.1K
Parlays2550%+$3.4K
NBA2832%+$343.99
Soccer50%-$97.51
WNBA2100%+$28.50
Entertainment20%-$9.52

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied outer.koi5040

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$757.31
Profit
on $10,400.00 staked
44-60
Record
42% win rate
-7%
Return
Profit over time104 settled trades
+$88.36-$757.31
Oct 26Nov 9
-$2.1K
Max drawdown
428% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$5.2K won vs $6.0K lost
+2.8 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 39¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
49 trades

By category

sports28 settled-4%
crypto69 settled-6%
other5 settled-12%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XPT2D2R63XKBLE7J-HGCWYHKPY
Nov 9
Yes66¢$2.0K+$993.06
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 9, 2 fills
No57¢$2.4K+$1.8K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 9, 2 fills
No55¢$1.1K-$1.1K
See every position across 99 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $2.4K on No at 57¢, Nov 9
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KPBSRH3YRYDNPE32-UHIAGGUQ4
    $2.0K on Yes at 60¢, Nov 7
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.4K on Yes at 52¢, Nov 6
    +$1.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?45¢16145%+$3.1K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KPBSRH3YRYDNPE32-UHIAGGUQ460¢2100%+$1.3K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XPT2D2R63XKBLE7J-HGCWYHKPY66¢1100%+$993.06
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026OAFH6GWC5UAPWHRN-F4L345FGF66¢1100%+$1.0K
Los Angeles L wins81¢350%+$162.08

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 12Nov 9

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$82.62
Oct 2026+$70.95
Nov 2026+$6.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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