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Stats as of
pablob18
-$22.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 249
- First Seen
- Feb 8, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 21, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 18% won · 11 settled · +$6.2K
pablob18 is a Kalshi trader with 249 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 48 wins and 138 losses on settled markets, -$22.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: San Antonio wins on Oct 21.
- Win rate
- 26%
- Return on settled
- -13%
- Money traded
- $244.3K
- Typical trade
- $227.48
- Avg entry
- 39¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,767
Profit over time
+$8.0K-$27.5K
Feb 8Oct 21
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8510%5%-5 pts
20 to 40¢6429%17%-12 pts
40 to 60¢5148%41%-7 pts
60 to 80¢3067%52%-15 pts
Over 80¢1990%86%-4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $806313%+$462.28
$81 to $2276211%-$3.6K
$235 to $9426228%-$10.5K
$943 to $21K6255%-$8.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NBA6233%+$4.1K
Baseball3016%-$33.2K
College basketball1838%+$2.1K
Bitcoin1718%+$6.2K
NFL3517%-$1.6K
Parlays3621%-$370.55
Side taken
Yes 98%2% No
If you had copied pablob18
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$171.08
Profit
on $2,600.00 staked
6-20
Record
23% win rate
+7%
Return
+$271.08-$1.2K
Aug 10Oct 19
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.09×
Profit factor
$2.2K won vs $2.0K lost
-14.7 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 38¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 22 trades
By category
sports23 settled+8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
San Antonio wins
Oct 21
Buffalo wins
Oct 13, 2 fills
Los Angeles R wins
Oct 13, 6 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$11.8KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$5.1K on No at 30¢, Aug 16
- 2+$11.7KLos Angeles L at Miami Winner?$9.6K on Yes at 45¢, Mar 20
- 3+$4.6KMexico vs USA Winner?$19.8K on Yes at 81¢, Mar 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles L at Detroit Winner?31¢90%-$12.7K
Italy vs Mexico Winner?75¢20%-$24.1K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?21¢1718%+$6.2K
Mexico vs USA Winner?81¢1100%+$4.6K
Marist at Merrimack Winner?65¢2100%+$4.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 24Oct 21
Profit by month
Feb 2026+$3.0K
Mar 2026-$21.5K
Apr 2026-$2.5K
May 2026+$25.09
Jun 2026+$858.64
Jul 2026-$1.7K
Aug 2026+$2.6K
Sep 2026-$72.98
Oct 2026-$3.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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