rivomarkets
Kalshi

palmtr33

+$26.1K
Tracked Trades
758
First Seen
Jan 9, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
188

palmtr33 is a Kalshi trader with 758 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 52 wins and 139 losses on settled markets, $26.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez wins on Sep 19.

Win rate
27%
Return on settled
+150%
Money traded
$106.9K
Typical trade
$43
Copy score
21/100
Kalshi rank
#319

Profit over time

+$26.1K-$954
Jan 14Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3709%12%+3 pts
20 to 40¢20028%32%+3 pts
40 to 60¢11648%38%-11 pts
60 to 80¢3069%86%+16 pts
Over 80¢3893%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1018916%-$106
$10 to $4318928%-$180
$43 to $9518835%+$2.5K
$95 to $10K18844%+$23.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports950%-$334
Culture1100%+$11.5K

Side taken

Yes 84%16% No

If you had copied palmtr33

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2401
Profit
on $16000 staked
43-117
Record
27% win rate
+15%
Return
292 still open
Profit over time160 settled trades
+$2.4K-$4.3K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$6.7K
Max drawdown
498% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.21×
Profit factor
$14.1K won vs $11.7K lost
-0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 28¢ avg
Longest losing streak
52
Deepest drawdown
95 trades

By category

other155 settled+8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

193 open positions worth $21.1K

The markets palmtr33 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what palmtr33 is holding

Recent positions

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez wins
Sep 19, 3 fills, avg 60¢
SELLNO$2.3KOpen
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez wins
Sep 19, 3 fills, avg 16¢
BUYYES$282+$2.2K
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez wins
Sep 19, avg 28¢
BUYYES$571+$1.5K
See every position across 393 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Cincinnati,yes Philadelphia
    $1.1K on Yes, Sep 13
    +$11.5K
  2. 2
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $505 on Yes, Sep 18
    +$8.4K
  3. 3
    no Atlante,yes Milwaukee,yes Atlanta,yes Seattle,yes San Diego,yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles D
    $108 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$2.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points4100%+$8.4K
Will the Mexico win the 2026 Men's World Cup?14+$0
yes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles D,yes Milwaukee,yes Philadelphia,yes Buffalo,yes Houston,yes Green Bay,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore,yes Philadelphia2+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?111100%+$181
yes Senegal advances,yes USA advances,yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: England wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$264
Mar 2026-$71
Apr 2026-$270
May 2026-$140
Jun 2026+$678
Jul 2026-$388
Aug 2026-$300
Sep 2026+$26.8K

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