rivomarkets

panicky.tarantula8159

+$28.7K
Tracked Trades
532
First Seen
Jun 5, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026

panicky.tarantula8159 is a Kalshi trader with 532 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 109 wins and 51 losses on settled markets, $28.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Thiago Agustin Tirante wins on Sep 30.

Win rate
68%
Return on settled
+23%
Money traded
$332.6K
Typical trade
$156
Avg entry
65¢
Kalshi rank
#109

Profit over time

+$27.2K+$0
Jun 5Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢17%
20 to 40¢1235%
40 to 60¢12554%65%+11 pts
60 to 80¢35267%72%+5 pts
Over 80¢2488%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2412959%-$45
$24 to $15612960%+$81
$156 to $92412881%+$7.2K
$925 to $12K12876%+$19.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis46070%+$10.3K
Parlays3475%+$6.1K
Soccer1478%+$6.9K
MMA2100%+$1.8K
NFL3100%+$1.2K
Golf1+$0

Side taken

Yes 98%2% No

If you had copied panicky.tarantula8159

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1733
Profit
on $12800 staked
92-36
Record
72% win rate
+14%
Return
339 still open
Profit over time128 settled trades
+$1.7K-$694
Jun 29Sep 28
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
245% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.48×
Profit factor
$5.3K won vs $3.6K lost
+7.9 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 64¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
14 trades

By category

sports128 settled+14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

101 open positions worth $180.0K

The markets panicky.tarantula8159 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what panicky.tarantula8159 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Thiago Agustin Tirante wins
Sep 30
Yes63¢$955-$955
Will Daniil Medvedev win set 1 in the Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev match
Sep 29, 5 fills
Yes60¢$953+$636
Hubert Hurkacz wins
Sep 28
Yes61¢$954+$610
See every position across 170 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Rinky Hijikata wins
    $11.4K on Yes at 68¢, Aug 25
    +$5.3K
  2. 2
    yes Juan Manuel Cerundolo,yes Aleksandar Kovacevic
    $6.7K on Yes at 57¢, Aug 25
    +$5.0K
  3. 3
    Learner Tien wins
    $9.6K on Yes at 67¢, Aug 31
    +$4.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Marco Trungelliti wins89¢4100%+$1.8K
Rinky Hijikata wins68¢12100%+$5.3K
Espanyol vs Real Madrid Winner?69¢2100%+$4.3K
Learner Tien wins67¢9100%+$4.7K
Will Rafael Jodar win the Jodar vs Nakashima: Semifinal match?69¢30%-$3.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$558
Jul 2026+$1.3K
Aug 2026+$19.1K
Sep 2026+$5.3K

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