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Stats as of

Kalshi

papainnocent

+$197.72
Tracked Trades
167
First Seen
Jun 17, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In Parlays
2% won · 144 settled · +$493.82

papainnocent is a Kalshi trader with 167 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 8 wins and 147 losses on settled markets, $197.72 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Atletico,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Manchester United,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Real Betis,yes Porto,yes Manchester City,yes Arsenal on Nov 2.

Win rate
5%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$3.8K
Typical trade
$1.82
Avg entry
2¢
Kalshi rank
#4,287

Profit over time

+$487.00+$0.00
Jun 17Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1381%1%+0 pts
20 to 40¢1427%27%+1 pts
40 to 60¢749%60%+11 pts
60 to 80¢170%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢795%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1420%-$25.99
$1 to $2420%-$45.37
$2 to $5422%+$187.07
$5 to $6504123%+$82.01

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays1471%+$114.50
Soccer2035%+$83.22

Side taken

Yes 93%7% No

If you had copied papainnocent

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$4,182.34
Profit
on $13,600.00 staked
6-130
Record
4% win rate
-31%
Return
Profit over time136 settled trades
+$5.8K-$4.2K
Aug 3Nov 2
-$11.2K
Max drawdown
194% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.68×
Profit factor
$8.8K won vs $13.0K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
4% won at 4¢ avg
Longest losing streak
75
Deepest drawdown
124 trades

By category

sports136 settled-31%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Atletico,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Manchester United,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Real Betis,yes Porto,yes Manchester City,yes Arsenal
Nov 2
Yes0¢$2.67-$2.67
yes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Galatasaray,yes Roma,yes Sporting CP,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City
Nov 2
Yes0¢$4.53-$4.53
yes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Galatasaray,yes Roma,yes Sporting CP,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Liverpool,yes Arsenal
Nov 2
Yes0¢$4.58-$4.58
See every position across 155 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes America,yes Austin,yes Chicago Fire,yes Cruz Azul,yes Nashville,yes Philadelphia,yes San Diego FC
    $4.66 on Yes at 2¢, Aug 9
    +$306.01
  2. 2
    Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner?
    $222.07 on Yes at 49¢, Jun 18
    +$231.13
  3. 3
    England vs Croatia Winner?
    $291.63 on Yes at 59¢, Jun 17
    +$202.66
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Brentford,yes Chelsea,yes Manchester United,yes Brighton,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Genoa1¢20%-$9.33
yes Frankfurt,yes Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Lille,yes PSG,yes Toronto,yes Napoli,yes Como0¢20%-$1.85
yes Orlando,yes Charlotte,yes Miami,yes New England,yes Nashville,yes Toronto1¢20%-$2.79
England vs Croatia Winner?59¢1100%+$202.66
Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner?50¢10%-$289.86

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$100.25
Jul 2026-$7.42
Aug 2026+$116.00
Sep 2026-$52.84
Oct 2026+$20.47
Nov 2026+$21.26

Kalshi leaderboards

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