rivomarkets

Stats as of

rafadlc1

+$7.3K
Tracked Trades
3,002
First Seen
Aug 29, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 12, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
29% won · 1,970 settled · +$16.7K

rafadlc1 is a Kalshi trader with 3,002 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 541 wins and 1,481 losses on settled markets, $7.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 12.

Win rate
27%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$220.7K
Typical trade
$9
Avg entry
31¢
Kalshi rank
#555

Profit over time

+$15.9K-$8.9K
Aug 29Oct 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢85412%6%-6 pts
20 to 40¢143629%30%+2 pts
40 to 60¢68746%40%-6 pts
60 to 80¢562%60%-2 pts
Over 80¢2095%100%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $175125%+$24
$1 to $975124%-$86
$9 to $5575022%-$2.5K
$56 to $4.7K75036%+$9.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin285929%+$14.4K
Commodities696%-$4.7K
Ethereum730%-$2.4K
Solana10%-$1

Side taken

Yes 58%42% No

If you had copied rafadlc1

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$10990
Profit
on $202200 staked
541-1481
Record
27% win rate
-5%
Return
260 still open
Profit over time2022 settled trades
+$11.8K-$12.6K
Aug 24Oct 12
-$37.2K
Max drawdown
18172% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$137.1K won vs $148.1K lost
-2.3 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 29¢ avg
Longest losing streak
119
Deepest drawdown
916 trades

By category

other26 settled+50%
crypto1928 settled-3%
finance68 settled-89%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $11.3K

The markets rafadlc1 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what rafadlc1 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12, 2 fills
Yes35¢$1.1K-$1.1K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12, 14 fills
Sold Yessold 40¢$1.4KExited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12, 78 fills
Yes16¢$2.5K-$2.5K
See every position across 169 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $2.7K on Yes at 30¢, Oct 8
    +$6.2K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $3.1K on Yes at 37¢, Oct 8
    +$5.4K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $3.5K on No at 42¢, Oct 4
    +$4.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?31¢285629%+$14.4K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?34¢696%-$4.7K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?37¢730%-$2.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 15Oct 12

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$627
Sep 2026-$4.6K
Oct 2026+$11.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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