Stats as of
rafiru
+$1.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 561
- First Seen
- Jun 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 26% won · 38 settled · +$3.4K
rafiru is a Kalshi trader with 561 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 80 wins and 149 losses on settled markets, $1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AF90DA144CE-08B33104838 on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 35%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $59.9K
- Typical trade
- $28
- Avg entry
- 13¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,655
Profit over time
+$4.2K-$1.4K
Jun 12Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3037%9%+2 pts
20 to 40¢7129%36%+7 pts
40 to 60¢10250%47%-3 pts
60 to 80¢5965%43%-22 pts
Over 80¢2689%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $914130%-$44
$9 to $2814037%-$191
$29 to $9214039%+$298
$92 to $1.8K14036%+$1.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays29225%+$3.3K
Tennis6154%-$2.0K
Baseball6447%+$2.2K
College football1358%+$702
Bitcoin3612%-$1.4K
NFL2314%-$233
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied rafiru
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$2601
Profit
on $20200 staked
72-130
Record
36% win rate
-13%
Return
218 still open
+$1.2K-$2.6K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$4.9K
Max drawdown
243% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.80×
Profit factor
$10.4K won vs $13.0K lost
-5.5 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 41¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 24
- Deepest drawdown
- 173 trades
By category
sports173 settled-3%
crypto25 settled-77%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
185 open positions worth $20.6K
The markets rafiru is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AF90DA144CE-08B33104838
Oct 13
Tampa Bay wins
Oct 13
Hubert Hurkacz wins
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.9Kyes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles D$474 on Yes at 14¢, Aug 11
- 2+$1.8Kyes Tommy Paul,yes Amanda Anisimova$956 on Yes at 35¢, Aug 18
- 3+$1.6KChicago WS wins$474 on Yes at 23¢, Oct 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?54¢3413%-$1.4K
yes Los Angeles D,yes New York M,yes Atlanta,yes Washington,no Over 8.5 runs scored11¢2+$0
Tampa Bay wins54¢3100%+$1.8K
Elmer Moller wins86¢2100%+$310
Will Andrey Rublev win the Rublev vs Borges: Round Of 32 match?39¢10%-$1.3K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$448
Jul 2026-$578
Aug 2026+$2.3K
Sep 2026-$891
Oct 2026+$742
Kalshi leaderboards
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