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Stats as of

Scarecrow808

scarecrow808

-$5.7K
Tracked Trades
844
First Seen
Oct 7, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 5, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
46% won · 415 settled · +$2.2K

Scarecrow808 is a Kalshi trader with 844 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 219 wins and 344 losses on settled markets, -$5.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Philadelphia wins on Nov 5.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$214.2K
Typical trade
$20.71
Avg entry
57¢
Kalshi rank
#3,107

Profit over time

+$1.4K-$10.1K
Oct 7Nov 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1758%12%+5 pts
20 to 40¢19031%27%-4 pts
40 to 60¢13751%43%-8 pts
60 to 80¢10669%68%-1 pts
Over 80¢12393%97%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $918317%-$44.68
$9 to $2118333%-$270.47
$21 to $9718342%-$269.83
$97 to $10.0K18271%-$5.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin44948%-$1.9K
NBA2235%-$1.2K
Baseball4157%-$315.63
Tennis11639%-$1.4K
Other crypto6130%-$130.00
College football840%-$511.04

Side taken

Yes 68%32% No

If you had copied Scarecrow808

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$3,072.96
Profit
on $37,300.00 staked
144-229
Record
39% win rate
-8%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time373 settled trades
+$218.94-$3.1K
Oct 5Nov 2
-$5.5K
Max drawdown
269% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$19.8K won vs $22.9K lost
-0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 39¢ avg
Longest losing streak
19
Deepest drawdown
222 trades

By category

crypto243 settled-0%
sports128 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $1.2K

The markets Scarecrow808 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Scarecrow808 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Philadelphia wins
Nov 5, 4 fills
Yes99¢$10.0K+$100.87
Detroit wins
Nov 5, 2 fills
Yes7¢$8.22-$8.22
Memphis wins
Nov 5, 2 fills
Yes55¢$101.87-$101.87
See every position across 334 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Los Angeles L wins
    $5.3K on Yes at 62¢, Nov 3
    +$3.2K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $473.18 on No at 19¢, Oct 29
    +$2.0K
  3. 3
    Los Angeles L wins
    $8.7K on Yes at 88¢, Oct 29
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?77¢44547%-$2.0K
Los Angeles L wins76¢4100%+$4.4K
Milwaukee wins75¢1380%-$552.39
Philadelphia wins98¢3100%+$179.06
Cleveland wins45¢1186%+$2.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 8Nov 5

Profit by month

Oct 2026-$9.4K
Nov 2026+$3.6K

Kalshi leaderboards

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