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Stats as of
smelio31
+$13.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 259
- First Seen
- Sep 21, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 25, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 5% won · 146 settled · +$20.4K
smelio31 is a Kalshi trader with 259 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 227 losses on settled markets, $13.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will over 2.5 goals be scored? on Oct 25.
- Win rate
- 10%
- Return on settled
- +32%
- Money traded
- $50.5K
- Typical trade
- $93.46
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #538
Profit over time
+$27.6K-$6.7K
Sep 21Oct 25
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1925%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢4330%19%-11 pts
40 to 60¢1648%21%-27 pts
60 to 80¢667%80%+13 pts
Over 80¢290%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $45650%-$1.3K
$46 to $93653%-$2.3K
$93 to $220658%+$4.6K
$225 to $6.1K6429%+$12.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1465%+$20.4K
NFL2326%-$2.9K
Soccer1928%-$3.0K
US elections80%-$612.34
Baseball2011%-$1.1K
Golf138%-$978.92
Side taken
Yes 97%3% No
If you had copied smelio31
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$8,126.35
Profit
on $13,000.00 staked
16-114
Record
12% win rate
+63%
Return
+$8.3K-$991.67
Oct 5Oct 19
-$4.4K
Max drawdown
35% below peak
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.71×
Profit factor
$19.5K won vs $11.4K lost
+0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
12% won at 12¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 31
- Deepest drawdown
- 64 trades
By category
sports128 settled+65%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?
Oct 25
New York G wins
Oct 25
Full Game: over 46.5 points scored?
Oct 19
Biggest wins
- 1+$12.5Kyes Josh Allen: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+,yes Puka Nacua: 1+$462.53 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 12
- 2+$10.9Kyes Auston Matthews: 1+,yes Jack Eichel: 1+,yes Kirill Kaprizov: 1+,yes Leon Draisaitl: 1+,yes Kyle Connor: 1+$143.09 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 15
- 3+$8.1Kyes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored$233.33 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025?10¢80%-$612.34
New York G wins24¢533%-$2.0K
KXSERIEA1HTOTAL-26OCT17ROMGEN-146¢10%-$2.1K
Full Game: Over 6.5 goals scored38¢520%+$266.35
Green Bay at Dallas Winner?64¢2+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 28Oct 25
Profit by month
Sep 2025-$521.58
Oct 2025-$395.50
Nov 2025-$377.34
Dec 2025-$396.52
Jan 2026-$7.59
Mar 2026-$380.09
Apr 2026-$1.8K
May 2026-$1.6K
Oct 2026+$18.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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