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Stats as of
smoggy.manatee2288
+$839
- Tracked Trades
- 231
- First Seen
- Jun 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 20, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 9% won · 187 settled · +$1.2K
smoggy.manatee2288 is a Kalshi trader with 231 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 17 wins and 177 losses on settled markets, $839 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026UB3FTM5IVAFL7NLG-Z3EWBQV2R on Oct 20.
- Win rate
- 9%
- Return on settled
- +12%
- Money traded
- $33.6K
- Typical trade
- $26
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,583
Profit over time
+$3.1K-$530
Jun 24Oct 20
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1764%6%+2 pts
20 to 40¢1530%14%-16 pts
40 to 60¢949%67%+18 pts
60 to 80¢370%
Over 80¢2892%0%-92 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $14584%-$468
$14 to $26589%+$799
$26 to $57587%-$354
$61 to $3.1K5726%+$861
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2249%+$1.2K
Soccer70%-$312
Side taken
Yes 84%16% No
If you had copied smoggy.manatee2288
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2244
Profit
on $17200 staked
13-159
Record
8% win rate
+13%
Return
+$11.6K-$600
Aug 31Oct 19
-$11.5K
Max drawdown
84% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.14×
Profit factor
$18.1K won vs $15.9K lost
+1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 7¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 62
- Deepest drawdown
- 132 trades
By category
sports172 settled+13%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026UB3FTM5IVAFL7NLG-Z3EWBQV2R
Oct 20
yes Atletico Nacional,yes Millonarios,yes San Luis,yes Guadalajara,yes Juarez,yes Tigres,yes Al Nassr,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Roma
Oct 20
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Manchester City,yes Roma
Oct 20
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.4Kyes AEK Athens,yes Aston Villa,yes Dortmund,yes Manchester City,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid$19 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 8
- 2+$1.3Kyes Argentina,yes Canada,yes Brazil,yes Russia,yes USA,yes England,yes Spain,yes Switzerland$93 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 3
- 3+$1.1Kyes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Real Betis,yes Leon,yes Como,yes Roma,yes Inter$27 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Los Angeles R,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Carolina,yes Atlanta,yes Green Bay,yes Houston,yes Kansas City,yes New York G,yes New England,yes Tampa Bay,yes Indianapolis0¢20%-$9
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026QQ4HOZJYK6E3YYF4-M2VXBZWG71+$0
yes Alkmaar,yes SL Benfica,yes Bournemouth,yes Dinamo Zagreb,yes Leverkusen,yes Stade Rennais,yes Sparta Prague,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored3¢20%-$75
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score2¢40%-$35
yes Los Angeles D,yes Chicago,yes Cincinnati,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes New England,yes Minnesota,yes Washington,yes Jacksonville,yes Seattle1¢20%-$14
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 23Oct 20
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$313
Jul 2026+$328
Sep 2026+$1.4K
Oct 2026-$603
Kalshi leaderboards
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