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Stats as of

SupaMario25

supamario25

+$838
Tracked Trades
99
First Seen
Sep 18, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 20, 2026
Best In Parlays
3% won · 75 settled · +$1.1K

SupaMario25 is a Kalshi trader with 99 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 76 losses on settled markets, $838 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Washington wins on Oct 20.

Win rate
7%
Return on settled
+46%
Money traded
$19.5K
Typical trade
$13
Avg entry
1¢
Kalshi rank
#3,600

Profit over time

+$1.9K-$168
Sep 18Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢813%3%+0 pts
20 to 40¢525%0%-25 pts
60 to 80¢277%100%+23 pts
Over 80¢1192%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $92516%+$323
$9 to $13250%-$258
$13 to $19258%+$1.7K
$23 to $5.6K248%-$967

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays843%+$1.1K
NFL1350%-$310
Hockey2100%+$3

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied SupaMario25

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$11083
Profit
on $8200 staked
6-76
Record
7% win rate
+135%
Return
Profit over time82 settled trades
+$11.1K-$1.1K
Sep 14Oct 19
-$6.0K
Max drawdown
49% below peak
1.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.46×
Profit factor
$18.7K won vs $7.6K lost
+0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
7% won at 7¢ avg
Longest losing streak
34
Deepest drawdown
61 trades

By category

sports82 settled+135%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Washington wins
Oct 20, 3 fills
Yes11¢$340-$340
San Francisco wins
Oct 20, 5 fills
Sold Nosold 9¢$14Exited
San Francisco wins
Oct 20, 3 fills
Yes80¢$120+$30
See every position across 78 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Japan,yes Uruguay,yes Palestine,yes France,yes Bosnia and Herzegovina,yes Sweden
    $16 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 28
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    yes San Francisco,yes Over 10.5 points,yes San Francisco,yes Brock Purdy: 1+,yes Brock Purdy: 250+,yes George Kittle: 40+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 50+,no Over 50.5 points
    $7 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 19
    +$385
  3. 3
    San Francisco wins
    $120 on Yes at 80¢, Oct 20
    +$30
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Arizona,yes Buffalo,yes Kansas City,no Jacoby Brissett: 200+,no Matthew Stafford: 200+0¢20%-$9
yes Brooklyn,yes Denver,yes Golden State,yes Oklahoma City,yes Carolina,yes Buffalo,yes Toronto,yes New York R,yes Detroit,yes New Jersey,yes Vegas0¢20%-$6
yes Andrew Abbott: 6+,yes Nolan McLean: 9+,yes George Kirby: 8+0¢20%-$9
Washington wins11¢50%-$340
Parlay: San Francisco + George Kittle: 70+ + Christian McCaffrey: 60+1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 23Oct 20

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.9K
Oct 2026-$1.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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