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Stats as of
stem.way500k
+$1.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 206
- First Seen
- Apr 15, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 25, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 13% won · 152 settled · +$3.0K
stem.way500k is a Kalshi trader with 206 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 26 wins and 157 losses on settled markets, $1.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026LR2B3YCVVSV4MNFG-6Z3PICBMR on Oct 25.
- Win rate
- 14%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $122.5K
- Typical trade
- $187.37
- Avg entry
- 10¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,820
Profit over time
+$14.7K-$3.5K
Apr 15Oct 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1318%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢3027%24%-3 pts
40 to 60¢2748%42%-6 pts
60 to 80¢373%
Over 80¢1595%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $93528%-$2.0K
$93 to $187528%-$4.0K
$187 to $4765117%+$1.6K
$477 to $11K5130%+$5.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays17413%+$3.0K
Baseball70%-$1.5K
Tennis1822%-$1.2K
NBA450%+$627.66
Hockey1100%+$445.72
Soccer20%-$246.91
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied stem.way500k
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$3,727.11
Profit
on $6,400.00 staked
4-60
Record
6% win rate
-58%
Return
+$43.64-$3.7K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$4.4K
Max drawdown
682% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.38×
Profit factor
$2.3K won vs $6.0K lost
-2.9 pts
Edge vs implied
6% won at 9¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 28
- Deepest drawdown
- 46 trades
By category
sports64 settled-58%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026LR2B3YCVVSV4MNFG-6Z3PICBMR
Oct 25
yes Arsenal,yes Buffalo,yes Florida Atlantic,yes North Carolina,yes Utah,yes New Jersey,yes Boston,yes Alycia Parks,yes Elena Rybakina
Oct 24
yes Jayson Tatum: 20+,yes Cade Cunningham: 20+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 25+,yes Joel Embiid: 20+,no Boston wins by over 10.5 points,no Oklahoma City wins by over 9.5 points,no New York wins by over 11.5 points
Oct 20
Biggest wins
- 1+$10.0Kyes Argentina,yes Norway,yes France wins by more than 1.5 goals$2.8K on Yes at 22¢, Jun 22
- 2+$5.8Kyes Jakub Mensik,yes Naomi Osaka,yes Coco Gauff,yes Elena Rybakina$2.4K on Yes at 29¢, Aug 9
- 3+$4.3Kyes Rafael Jodar,yes Joao Fonseca,yes Atlanta,yes Carolina$461.78 on Yes at 10¢, Aug 6
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Learner Tien,yes Felix Auger-Aliassime,yes Daniel Merida,yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Leylah Fernandez9¢20%-$938.86
yes Martin Damm Jr,yes Marcos Giron,yes Luca Van Assche,yes Coco Gauff,yes Claire Liu,yes Robin Montgomery9¢20%-$939.73
yes Rafael Jodar,yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Carolina,yes Indiana,yes Marta Kostyuk,yes Elina Svitolina4¢20%-$277.27
yes Franz Wagner: 15+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 25+,yes Over 225.5 points scored,no Over 224.5 points scored14¢20%-$942.83
yes Brandon Nakashima,yes Arthur Fils,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Cincinnati,yes Washington wins by over 6.5 points,yes Amanda Anisimova,yes Aryna Sabalenka,yes Elena Rybakina3¢20%-$234.16
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 28Oct 25
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$1.3K
May 2026-$1.8K
Jun 2026+$17.7K
Jul 2026-$10.7K
Aug 2026-$1.3K
Sep 2026-$695.71
Oct 2026-$933.62
Kalshi leaderboards
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