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Stats as of
TheTurfGuy
theturfguy
+$11.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 278
- First Seen
- May 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 2, 2026
- Best In College football
- 59% won · 138 settled · +$6.2K
TheTurfGuy is a Kalshi trader with 278 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 141 wins and 118 losses on settled markets, $11.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Washington wins by over 5.5 points? on Nov 2.
- Win rate
- 54%
- Return on settled
- +27%
- Money traded
- $62.6K
- Typical trade
- $106.39
- Avg entry
- 19¢
- Kalshi rank
- #650
Profit over time
+$15.7K-$60.00
May 13Nov 2
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢408%16%+8 pts
20 to 40¢3828%51%+24 pts
40 to 60¢19150%63%+12 pts
60 to 80¢179%
Over 80¢892%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$4 to $967036%+$4.1K
$96 to $1067064%+$2.1K
$107 to $1926959%+$2.4K
$193 to $12K6960%+$3.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football14659%+$6.2K
Parlays3126%+$3.3K
NFL5263%+$1.3K
NBA2158%+$253.71
Baseball1367%+$617.37
Golf1521%+$81.15
Side taken
Yes 63%37% No
If you had copied TheTurfGuy
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$8,204.90
Profit
on $20,600.00 staked
112-94
Record
54% win rate
+40%
Return
+$8.4K+$0.00
Oct 12Nov 2
-$807.69
Max drawdown
13% below peak
10.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.87×
Profit factor
$17.6K won vs $9.4K lost
+12.2 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 10 trades
By category
sports205 settled+40%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Washington wins by over 5.5 points?
Nov 2
New England wins by over 7.5 points?
Nov 1
Northern Illinois wins
Nov 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.7Kyes Cleveland,yes Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 points,yes Denver wins by over 4.5 points,no Houston wins by over 10.5 points$140.74 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 25
- 2+$1.4KChicago wins by over 1.5 points?$1.4K on Yes at 49¢, Oct 18
- 3+$1.4Kyes Cleveland,yes Denver,yes Pittsburgh$379.22 on Yes at 22¢, Oct 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Kentucky,yes UCLA,yes Florida St.,yes BYU1¢20%-$92.68
yes Chicago wins by over 1.5 points,no Kansas City wins by over 7.5 points,no New England wins by over 7.5 points,yes Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 points,no Indianapolis wins by over 6.5 points3¢20%-$93.48
Indianapolis wins42¢20%-$1.9K
Tulane wins34¢4100%+$1.3K
yes Florida Atlantic wins by over 9.5 points,no Texas Tech wins by over 11.5 points,yes Toledo wins by over 2.5 points,no TCU wins by over 10.5 points6¢20%-$93.70
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 5Nov 2
Profit by month
May 2026-$90.01
Oct 2026+$13.3K
Nov 2026-$1.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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