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Stats as of

thunder.hills

-$3.24
Tracked Trades
50
First Seen
Dec 4, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026

thunder.hills is a Kalshi trader with 50 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 14 wins and 15 losses on settled markets, -$3.24 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNCAAFB12-26-HOU on Oct 31.

Win rate
48%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$6.2K
Typical trade
$47.30
Avg entry
19¢
Kalshi rank
#5,498

Profit over time

+$311.00-$70.00
Dec 4Oct 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢159%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢928%33%+5 pts
40 to 60¢1448%75%+27 pts
60 to 80¢1069%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢292%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $241320%-$32.20
$24 to $471356%+$339.40
$48 to $941286%+$183.45
$94 to $2.0K1225%-$493.89

Categories

TradesWonProfit
College football1755%-$255.55
Basketball50%-$314.93
College basketball8100%+$340.10
NFL933%+$142.31
Entertainment2100%+$144.61
World politics5+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 70%30% No

If you had copied thunder.hills

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$7.27
Profit
on $500.00 staked
3-2
Record
60% win rate
-1%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$157.60-$7.27
Sep 7Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

By category

sports5 settled-1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $188.42

The markets thunder.hills is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thunder.hills is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNCAAFB12-26-HOU
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 95¢$1.5KExited
Houston wins
Oct 25, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 72¢$307.46Exited
Houston wins
Oct 25, 2 fills
Yes34¢$143.35-$143.35
See every position across 26 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Green Bay at Chicago Winner?
    $23.53 on Yes at 13¢, Jan 11
    +$157.47
  2. 2
    Will Jensen Huang be Time Person of the Year in 2025?
    $46.39 on Yes at 24¢, Dec 4
    +$144.61
  3. 3
    Illinois at Houston Winner?
    $95.94 on Yes at 41¢, Mar 25
    +$138.06
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Houston win the College Basketball National Championship?10¢50%-$314.93
KXNCAAFB12-26-HOU1+$0.00
Houston wins34¢40%-$143.35
Will Texas Tech win the Houston vs Texas Tech college football game?74¢3100%+$60.39
LSU at Houston Winner?44¢10%-$192.28

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$13.80
Jan 2026+$121.19
Feb 2026+$68.63
Mar 2026-$82.87
Sep 2026+$46.96
Oct 2026-$143.35

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