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Stats as of
tugboat
-$41.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 755
- First Seen
- Jan 5, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 2, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 43% won · 53 settled · +$14.1K
tugboat is a Kalshi trader with 755 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 114 wins and 503 losses on settled markets, -$41.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263ARMGY66ZB3XXPM4-UAQAZPD4Z on Nov 2.
- Win rate
- 18%
- Return on settled
- -6%
- Money traded
- $1.2M
- Typical trade
- $621.90
- Avg entry
- 11¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,809
Profit over time
+$0.00-$118.3K
Jan 5Nov 2
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4517%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢13429%21%-7 pts
40 to 60¢10049%45%-4 pts
60 to 80¢3168%61%-7 pts
Over 80¢3991%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $23718910%-$7.7K
$238 to $62218915%+$5.7K
$637 to $1.4K18918%-$54.9K
$1.4K to $64K18831%+$15.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays55312%-$39.7K
Tennis6845%+$15.7K
MMA5041%+$7.7K
NFL840%-$3.6K
Soccer2310%-$13.4K
WNBA60%-$5.5K
Side taken
Yes 81%19% No
If you had copied tugboat
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$8,200.88
Profit
on $32,600.00 staked
70-256
Record
21% win rate
+25%
Return
+$8.8K-$4.3K
Aug 3Nov 2
-$6.3K
Max drawdown
1075% below peak
1.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.32×
Profit factor
$33.8K won vs $25.6K lost
-0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
21% won at 22¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 23
- Deepest drawdown
- 181 trades
By category
sports119 settled+106%
other202 settled-21%
culture5 settled-27%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263ARMGY66ZB3XXPM4-UAQAZPD4Z
Nov 2
yes Nishesh Basavareddy,yes Karen Khachanov,yes Mattia Bellucci,yes Tomas Machac,yes Alex Molcan
Nov 2
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026WII2KJCEM3I7FQV7-N6AYFMOTO
Nov 2
Biggest wins
- 1+$65.0KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263ARMGY66ZB3XXPM4-UAQAZPD4Z$8.9K on Yes at 12¢, Nov 2
- 2+$45.4Kyes Tanner Boser,yes Mike Malott,yes Timothy Angel Cuamba,yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes Cristian Perez by KO/TKO/DQ,yes Fight ends before round 3,yes Fight ends before round 2$366.51 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 17
- 3+$20.4Kyes Martin Damm Jr,yes Taylor Fritz,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Valentin Vacherot,yes Lilli Tagger$1.6K on Yes at 7¢, Oct 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KXLAE6XK7L7T4TBL-ZAWZK4ZBB21¢20%-$16.1K
no South Carolina St. wins by over 10.5 points,yes James Madison wins by over 16.5 points,no Green Bay wins by over 5.5 points,yes Tampa Bay,yes Diana Shnaider1+$0.00
yes Ben Shelton,yes Rafalentino Ali Da Costa,yes Anthony Susanto,yes Arizona,yes Milwaukee,yes Texas,yes Washington,yes San Francisco,yes Los Angeles D,no Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs0¢20%-$141.14
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FXZM3PIM7WMEXXIR-IMJ7MBVQ51+$0.00
Green Bay wins by over 16.5 points?41¢20%-$12.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 5Nov 2
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$5.7K
Feb 2026-$4.9K
May 2026-$26.2K
Jul 2026-$27.8K
Aug 2026-$19.1K
Sep 2026-$14.1K
Oct 2026+$1.7K
Nov 2026+$54.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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