rivomarkets

dark.steelbad

+$41.6K
Tracked Trades
1,359
First Seen
Apr 29, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 5, 2026
Followers
23
Best In College football
2% won · 412 settled · +$33.0K

dark.steelbad is a Kalshi trader with 1,359 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 98 wins and 640 losses on settled markets, $41.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 5.

Win rate
13%
Return on settled
+21%
Money traded
$518.8K
Typical trade
$16
Avg entry
20¢
Kalshi rank
#62

Profit over time

+$49.7K-$38.1K
Apr 29Oct 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6785%3%-2 pts
20 to 40¢40828%34%+6 pts
40 to 60¢20948%29%-19 pts
60 to 80¢1568%
Over 80¢4393%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $03390%-$7
$0 to $1633816%-$315
$16 to $25533820%-$5.3K
$255 to $19K33835%+$44.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays1478%+$24.2K
Tennis32139%+$8.1K
Baseball16610%-$22.2K
College football4212%+$33.0K
Hockey6910%-$13.8K
Soccer4867%+$4.4K

Side taken

Yes 86%14% No

If you had copied dark.steelbad

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$35967
Profit
on $44900 staked
26-423
Record
6% win rate
-80%
Return
124 still open
Profit over time449 settled trades
+$1.8K-$36.0K
Jul 6Oct 5
-$38.0K
Max drawdown
2075% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.15×
Profit factor
$6.3K won vs $42.3K lost
+1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
6% won at 5¢ avg
Longest losing streak
371
Deepest drawdown
427 trades

By category

other5 settled-26%
sports444 settled-81%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

26 open positions worth $32.4K

The markets dark.steelbad is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dark.steelbad is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Oct 5
Yes15¢$9.4KOpen
Detroit wins
Oct 5, 2 fills
Yes19¢$1.4K-$1.4K
Los Angeles D wins
Oct 5
Yes7¢$235-$235
See every position across 226 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored
    $9.4K on Yes at 17¢, Oct 4
    +$47.8K
  2. 2
    Will Wyndham Clark win the THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?
    $2.8K on Yes at 13¢, May 24
    +$19.0K
  3. 3
    Missouri wins
    $9.2K on Yes at 34¢, Oct 3
    +$17.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored16¢333%+$33.6K
yes Chicago C,yes Cleveland24¢2+$0
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored19¢20%-$9.5K
Will Hailey Baptiste win the Baptiste vs Andreeva: Semifinal match?33¢90%-$4.8K
Arizona vs Chicago C Winner?16¢200%-$2.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 8Oct 5

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$8.1K
May 2026-$28.2K
Jun 2026+$2.8K
Jul 2026-$728
Aug 2026-$2.1K
Sep 2026-$307
Oct 2026+$75.1K

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