rivomarkets

TXHeat

txheat

-$8
Tracked Trades
296
First Seen
Feb 8, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 15, 2026
Followers
1

TXHeat is a Kalshi trader with 296 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 7 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, -$8 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXSENATEDER-26-MKAT on Sep 15.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$42.5K
Typical trade
$27
Copy score
0/100
Kalshi rank
#3,048

Profit over time

+$137-$8
Feb 8Aug 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢625%0%-5 pts
20 to 40¢228%
40 to 60¢1452%50%-2 pts
60 to 80¢1876%100%+24 pts
Over 80¢20090%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $7740%-$7
$7 to $277425%-$31
$27 to $977460%-$78
$97 to $3.0K74100%+$109

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture2+$0

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied TXHeat

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$600
Profit
on $600 staked
0-6
Record
0% win rate
-100%
Return
134 still open
Profit over time6 settled trades
+$0-$600
Jun 29Sep 14

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.

By category

other6 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

22 open positions worth $29.6K

The markets TXHeat is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what TXHeat is holding

Recent positions

KXSENATEDER-26-MKAT
Sep 15, 2 fills, avg 90¢
BUYYES$3.7KOpen
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?
Sep 2, 4 fills, avg 1¢
SELLNO$51Open
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?
Aug 28, 2 fills, avg 84¢
BUYYES$3.6KOpen
See every position across 40 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Texas?
    $394 on Yes, Mar 2
    +$102
  2. 2
    Will the Seattle win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?
    $97 on Yes, Feb 8
    +$50
  3. 3
    What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?
    $43 on Yes, Feb 25
    +$33
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the Democratic nominee for FL-27?10+$0
KXSENATEDER-26-MKAT2+$0
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?6+$0
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?19+$0
Will Larry Rhoden be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Dakota?14+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 18Sep 15

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$113
Mar 2026+$23
Jul 2026-$97
Aug 2026-$47

Similar Kalshi traders

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