rivomarkets
Kalshi

unwilling.groundhog8927

+$8.3K
Tracked Trades
944
First Seen
May 16, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
12

unwilling.groundhog8927 is a Kalshi trader with 944 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 157 wins and 134 losses on settled markets, $8.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D,yes Los Angeles A,no Ole Miss wins by over 10.5 points,yes Alexandre Pantoja on Sep 20.

Win rate
54%
Return on settled
+46%
Money traded
$62.8K
Typical trade
$48
Copy score
53/100
Kalshi rank
#780

Profit over time

+$6.9K+$0
May 16Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2729%10%+1 pts
20 to 40¢27130%51%+21 pts
40 to 60¢39346%67%+21 pts
60 to 80¢170%
Over 80¢180%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1123576%+$110
$11 to $4823543%+$54
$48 to $9523434%+$809
$95 to $2.7K23451%+$4.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1100%+$472

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied unwilling.groundhog8927

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$10998
Profit
on $20800 staked
125-83
Record
60% win rate
+53%
Return
468 still open
Profit over time208 settled trades
+$12.4K-$19
Jun 22Sep 14
-$2.3K
Max drawdown
17% below peak
4.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.33×
Profit factor
$19.3K won vs $8.3K lost
+24.5 pts
Edge vs implied
60% won at 36¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
52 trades

By category

other207 settled+53%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

316 open positions worth $29.1K

The markets unwilling.groundhog8927 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what unwilling.groundhog8927 is holding

Recent positions

yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D,yes Los Angeles A,no Ole Miss wins by over 10.5 points,yes Alexandre Pantoja
Sep 20, avg 6¢
BUYYES$48-$48
no Northwestern wins 1H by over 2.5 points,no Texas A&M wins 1H by over 7.5 points,yes Louisville,yes USC wins by over 23.5 points
Sep 19, avg 7¢
BUYYES$48-$48
yes USC wins 1H by over 13.5 points,yes Clemson,no Texas St. wins by over 6.5 points,yes Over 45.5 points scored
Sep 19, avg 4¢
BUYYES$49-$49
See every position across 558 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Justin Gaethje win the Topuria vs Gaethje professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?
    $190 on Yes, Jun 15
    +$713
  2. 2
    Australia vs Turkiye Winner?
    $612 on Yes, Jun 14
    +$690
  3. 3
    Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner?
    $607 on Yes, Jun 8
    +$684
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Philadelphia,yes Minnesota,yes Los Angeles D,yes Yes,no Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Sorana Cirstea,yes Amanda Anisimova2+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs?12100%+$202
Australia vs Turkiye Winner?5100%+$690
Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner?1100%+$684

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

May 2026+$1.6K
Jun 2026+$1.6K
Jul 2026+$773
Aug 2026+$897
Sep 2026+$1.1K

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