rivomarkets

melonmanm

0x0787a58e205a70320db638113fe8da18c8800ca3

+$2.6K
Tracked Trades
128
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In Tech and AI
94% won · 31 settled · +$2.5K

melonmanm is a Polymarket trader with 128 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 61 wins and 16 losses on settled markets, $2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? on Sep 29.

Win rate
79%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$125.5K
Typical trade
$800
Avg entry
61¢
Polymarket rank
#1,708

Profit over time

+$2.3K-$13.1K
Aug 20Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢415%100%+85 pts
20 to 40¢1832%100%+68 pts
40 to 60¢752%100%+48 pts
60 to 80¢4671%76%+5 pts
Over 80¢4889%74%-14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$525 to $6503186%+$13.8K
$660 to $8003196%+$3.9K
$802 to $1.3K3176%-$2.1K
$1.3K to $2.9K3047%-$13.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics5564%-$2.8K
Tech and AI2893%+$2.3K
Fed and rates19100%+$2.5K
Economic data9100%+$267
Commodities9+$0
US politics2+$0

Side taken

Yes 54%46% No

If you had copied melonmanm

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1995
Profit
on $7400 staked
58-16
Record
78% win rate
+27%
Return
49 still open
Profit over time74 settled trades
+$2.0K+$0
Aug 17Sep 28
-$681
Max drawdown
10668% below peak
2.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.25×
Profit factor
$3.6K won vs $1.6K lost
+2.9 pts
Edge vs implied
78% won at 75¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
8 trades

By category

politics36 settled+40%
finance5 settled+36%
culture31 settled+11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

19 open positions worth $49.1K

The markets melonmanm is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what melonmanm is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?
Sep 29
Yes53¢$2.5KOpen
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?
Sep 28, 4 fills
Yes95¢$5.1K+$271
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sep 28, 3 fills
No35¢$2.4KOpen
See every position across 36 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
    $2.3K on Yes at 23¢, Aug 27
    +$7.7K
  2. 2
    Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
    $2.4K on No at 28¢, Aug 26
    +$6.3K
  3. 3
    Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
    $8.7K on Yes at 74¢, Sep 1
    +$3.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?74¢12100%+$3.1K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?47¢1040%+$1.7K
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?49¢757%+$998
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?49¢8+$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?93¢8100%+$541

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$6.9K
Sep 2026+$9.3K

How they build positions

Added to a position67%
Opened a new position33%

Similar Polymarket traders

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