Polymarkettmsd-test
0x0cb038487586d1119b165466072e9baf666f3a90
+$11.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 2,173
- First Seen
- Aug 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 59% won · 1,626 settled · +$12.2K
tmsd-test is a Polymarket trader with 2,173 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 981 wins and 688 losses on settled markets, $11.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 59%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $740.8K
- Typical trade
- $604
- Copy score
- 56/100
- Polymarket rank
- #1,120
Profit over time
+$39.1K-$9.1K
Aug 19Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1114%33%+20 pts
20 to 40¢6032%38%+6 pts
40 to 60¢29352%55%+3 pts
60 to 80¢57570%66%-3 pts
Over 80¢23986%85%-1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $53229563%+$5.0K
$532 to $60429562%-$4.1K
$605 to $72829465%-$1.3K
$728 to $1.9K29467%+$9.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin111765%+$9.8K
Other culture6147%-$338
Side taken
Yes 0%100% No
If you had copied tmsd-test
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1247
Profit
on $97900 staked
631-348
Record
64% win rate
+1%
Return
+$5.6K+$0
Aug 17Sep 28
-$5.5K
Max drawdown
92% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.04×
Profit factor
$36.0K won vs $34.8K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
64% won at 65¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 384 trades
By category
culture53 settled+18%
crypto926 settled+0%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 68¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Sep 28, 2 fills, avg 77¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Sep 27, 2 fills, avg 75¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.0KBitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.9K on Down, Aug 27
- 2+$3.1KBitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.2K on Down, Aug 28
- 3+$3.1KBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.2K on Down, Aug 23
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET5100%+$2.4K
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET620%-$3.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET4100%+$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET2100%+$238
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET60%-$2.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$28.7K
Sep 2026-$19.3K
How they build positions
Closed a position99%
Opened a new position1%
Similar Polymarket traders
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