rivomarkets
Polymarket

HotWeatherGirl

0x1a11c4e9d41451111650457598a63e480f50e55d

+$329
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jul 7, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In Weather
71% won · 147 settled · +$333

HotWeatherGirl is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 109 wins and 43 losses on settled markets, $329 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30? on Sep 30.

Win rate
72%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$9.3K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
14¢
Polymarket rank
#2,125

Profit over time

+$318-$46
Aug 26Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2239%6%-3 pts
20 to 40¢17229%58%+30 pts
40 to 60¢11650%64%+14 pts
60 to 80¢13269%74%+4 pts
Over 80¢31193%98%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $323946%+$8
$3 to $523973%+$20
$5 to $1023870%+$27
$10 to $13623885%+$263

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather93772%+$315
Bitcoin11100%+$3
World politics2+$0

Side taken

Yes 50%50% No

If you had copied HotWeatherGirl

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1817
Profit
on $13600 staked
99-37
Record
73% win rate
+13%
Return
480 still open
Profit over time136 settled trades
+$1.8K+$0
Jul 6Sep 28
-$633
Max drawdown
162% below peak
2.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.49×
Profit factor
$5.5K won vs $3.7K lost
+9.0 pts
Edge vs implied
73% won at 64¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
20 trades

By category

culture134 settled+12%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

290 open positions worth $2.1K

The markets HotWeatherGirl is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what HotWeatherGirl is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on September 29?
Sep 30, 5 fills
Yes85¢sold 100¢$135+$23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30?
Sep 30, 2 fills
No84¢sold 100¢$29+$6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?
Sep 30, 2 fills
No98¢sold 100¢$50+$1
See every position across 543 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 9?
    $49 on No at 30¢, Sep 9
    +$115
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 29?
    $80 on No at 58¢, Sep 29
    +$57
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 29?
    $58 on No at 57¢, Sep 29
    +$43
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 10?20¢8+$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 9?33¢975%+$95
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on September 29?85¢5100%+$23
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 29?85¢4100%+$11
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 10?46¢860%-$2

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$13
Sep 2026+$305

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