rivomarkets

Stats as of

NotaForecaster

0x1b31372b2f050a8a21a694005c13d3599846852c

+$318
Tracked Trades
1,002
First Seen
Apr 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 8, 2026
Best In Weather
57% won · 72 settled · +$278

NotaForecaster is a Polymarket trader with 1,002 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $318 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 9? on Oct 8.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$36.7K
Typical trade
$6
Avg entry
48¢
Polymarket rank
#3,111

Profit over time

+$318+$0
Aug 23Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4145%26%+21 pts
20 to 40¢11629%33%+4 pts
40 to 60¢13250%47%-2 pts
60 to 80¢11470%93%+22 pts
Over 80¢22692%93%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225129%+$8
$2 to $625140%+$76
$6 to $2525062%+$53
$26 to $1.8K25076%+$181

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather99857%+$278
Motorsport3100%+$40
World politics1+$0

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied NotaForecaster

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2325
Profit
on $7300 staked
42-31
Record
58% win rate
+32%
Return
191 still open
Profit over time73 settled trades
+$2.3K+$0
Jul 13Oct 5
-$661
Max drawdown
43% below peak
3.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.75×
Profit factor
$5.4K won vs $3.1K lost
+9.3 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
15 trades

By category

culture72 settled+27%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

129 open positions worth $9.3K

The markets NotaForecaster is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what NotaForecaster is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 2?
Oct 2, 2 fills
No74¢sold 82¢$15+$5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2?
Oct 2
Yes77¢$38+$11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 2?
Oct 2, 2 fills
No1¢sold 1¢$2-$2
See every position across 578 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?
    $9 on No at 10¢, Sep 30
    +$84
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 28?
    $106 on Yes at 59¢, Sep 28
    +$73
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2?
    $166 on Yes at 70¢, Oct 2
    +$71
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15?98¢1+$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 9?98¢2+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?98¢6+$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 3?99¢1+$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 15?90¢4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 11Oct 8

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$48
Sep 2026+$181
Oct 2026+$88

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