rivomarkets

Outsmarter

0x1b6022ae41ad7a0b387a88c17885c754436ca55b

+$834
Tracked Trades
34
First Seen
Sep 1, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026

Outsmarter is a Polymarket trader with 34 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 5 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $834 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? on Sep 20.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$60.6K
Typical trade
$1.0K
Avg entry
78¢
Polymarket rank
#2,099

Profit over time

+$834+$0
Sep 1Sep 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
40 to 60¢448%
60 to 80¢1074%
Over 80¢2088%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $9409100%+$140
$940 to $1.0K9+$0
$1.0K to $1.1K8100%+$454
$1.1K to $11K8100%+$240

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics31100%+$454
Economic data3100%+$380

Side taken

Yes 35%65% No

If you had copied Outsmarter

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$69
Profit
on $500 staked
5-0
Record
100% win rate
+14%
Return
27 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$69+$0
Aug 31Sep 14

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $31.5K

The markets Outsmarter is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Outsmarter is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Sep 20, 4 fills
No80¢$6.9KOpen
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
Sep 20, 2 fills
No85¢$1.9KOpen
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
Sep 20
No94¢$583Open
See every position across 16 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
    $2.0K on No at 82¢, Sep 9
    +$454
  2. 2
    Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
    $2.8K on Yes at 92¢, Sep 1
    +$240
  3. 3
    Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
    $1.9K on No at 93¢, Sep 1
    +$140
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?2+$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?80¢4+$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?77¢2+$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?94¢4+$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?92¢1100%+$240

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$834

How they build positions

Opened a new position60%
Closed a position20%
Trimmed a position20%

Similar Polymarket traders

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