rivomarkets

.ethguy

0x1e55408f217f58facdf1d663c74cfa7f55e9e3e2

+$2.7K
Tracked Trades
97
First Seen
Aug 27, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 27, 2026

.ethguy is a Polymarket trader with 97 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 26 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, $2.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? on Sep 27.

Win rate
68%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$138.1K
Typical trade
$989
Copy score
53/100
Polymarket rank
#1,616

Profit over time

+$6.2K-$7.7K
Aug 27Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢17%
20 to 40¢526%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢1754%14%-40 pts
60 to 80¢5370%83%+12 pts
Over 80¢1988%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$502 to $7402444%-$1.7K
$740 to $9892490%+$1.2K
$1.0K to $2.0K2450%-$5.0K
$2.0K to $5.2K2382%+$8.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics6964%-$3.7K
Other crypto12+$0
Economic data5+$0
Weather2+$0
Baseball2100%+$4.8K
Fed and rates3100%+$533

Side taken

Yes 48%52% No

If you had copied .ethguy

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$345
Profit
on $3800 staked
26-12
Record
68% win rate
-9%
Return
29 still open
Profit over time38 settled trades
+$186-$1.0K
Aug 24Sep 21
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
644% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.71×
Profit factor
$855 won vs $1.2K lost
-0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
68% won at 69¢ avg
Longest losing streak
12
Deepest drawdown
12 trades

By category

politics33 settled-16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

13 open positions worth $32.9K

The markets .ethguy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what .ethguy is holding

Recent positions

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Sep 27, avg 65¢
SELLNO$1.2KOpen
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Sep 27, 2 fills, avg 65¢
BUYNO$2.4KOpen
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Sep 26, avg 7¢
BUYNO$627Open
See every position across 20 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    $25.0K on Yes, Sep 20
    +$7.9K
  2. 2
    Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
    $5.2K on Atlanta Braves, Aug 27
    +$4.8K
  3. 3
    Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?
    $7.7K on No, Sep 19
    +$2.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?250%-$13.9K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?18100%+$7.9K
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?11+$0
Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?6100%+$2.3K
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 30Sep 27

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$6.0K
Sep 2026-$3.2K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position46%
Closed a position31%
Opened a new position14%
Added to a position9%

Similar Polymarket traders

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