Polymarkethot-garbage
0x31393e2f8333d4a6e2e31ca6424defe8b6cb9e2e
+$122
- Tracked Trades
- 978
- First Seen
- Aug 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Aug 20, 2026
- Best In Ethereum
- 51% won · 386 settled · +$109
hot-garbage is a Polymarket trader with 978 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 498 wins and 480 losses on settled markets, $122 net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 51%
- Return on settled
- +82%
- Money traded
- $148
- Typical trade
- $6
- Copy score
- 48/100
- Polymarket rank
- #2,037
Profit over time
+$37-$4
Aug 19Aug 20
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢828%25%-3 pts
40 to 60¢145%0%-45 pts
60 to 80¢667%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢181%100%+19 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $6450%-$0
$6 to $6450%+$3
$6 to $12425%-$19
$17 to $194100%+$53
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin1250%+$28
Ethereum475%+$9
Side taken
Yes 0%100% No
If you had copied hot-garbage
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$19
Profit
on $1600 staked
9-7
Record
56% win rate
-1%
Return
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 16 so far.
By category
crypto16 settled-1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Aug 20, avg 20¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Aug 20, avg 81¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Aug 20, avg 70¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$17 on Down, Aug 20
- 2+$17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$35 on Up, Aug 19
- 3+$12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$6 on Down, Aug 19
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET450%-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET40%-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET1100%+$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET1100%+$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET1100%+$5
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
May 23Aug 20
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$37
How they build positions
Opened a new position100%
Similar Polymarket traders
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