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Stats as of

0x3e4a…dced

0x3e4a072bf427421a34a9b085c0a8796c7da7dced

-$49
Tracked Trades
303
First Seen
Jan 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 12, 2026
Best In Chess
65% won · 31 settled · +$74

0x3e4a…dced is a Polymarket trader with 303 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 63 wins and 114 losses on settled markets, -$49 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? on Oct 12.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
-5%
Money traded
$3.0K
Typical trade
$3
Avg entry
43¢
Polymarket rank
#3,651

Profit over time

+$38-$138
Jan 25Aug 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢10311%20%+9 pts
20 to 40¢7228%21%-7 pts
40 to 60¢6250%24%-25 pts
60 to 80¢3971%89%+19 pts
Over 80¢2791%89%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $17621%+$2
$1 to $37623%-$43
$3 to $87644%+$35
$9 to $1477558%-$43

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather11332%+$21
Chess4265%+$74
Soccer3324%-$77
Entertainment6024%-$65
World politics1829%-$32
Fed and rates1330%+$4

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied 0x3e4a…dced

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$675
Profit
on $1400 staked
6-8
Record
43% win rate
+48%
Return
22 still open
Profit over time14 settled trades
+$675-$472
Jul 13Oct 12

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 14 so far.

By category

culture8 settled+118%
sports6 settled-45%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.3K

The markets 0x3e4a…dced is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 0x3e4a…dced is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Sep 28, 7 fills
No78¢sold 84¢$63+$18
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
Sep 27, 8 fills
Yes14¢sold 2¢$7-$7
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
Sep 13, 7 fills
Yes23¢sold 5¢$14-$14
See every position across 86 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
    $23 on Yes at 17¢, Aug 9
    +$117
  2. 2
    Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
    $279 on Yes at 71¢, Apr 9
    +$115
  3. 3
    Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
    $14 on Yes at 29¢, Jan 29
    +$35
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?56¢41+$0
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?71¢19100%+$115
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?62¢1727%-$35
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?51¢11+$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?17¢50%-$26

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 15Oct 12

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$38
Feb 2026-$6
Mar 2026+$37
Apr 2026+$17
May 2026-$48
Jun 2026-$28
Jul 2026-$61
Aug 2026+$78

Polymarket leaderboards

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