rivomarkets

Nostrafakus

0x44a0152818fcf1aca60f70fb822774d27adf76e5

+$313
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Mar 1, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026
Best In Tech and AI
100% won · 30 settled · +$151

Nostrafakus is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 2 losses on settled markets, $313 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026? on Oct 1.

Win rate
97%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$119.6K
Typical trade
$49
Avg entry
94¢
Polymarket rank
#2,524

Profit over time

+$313+$0
Aug 4Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢566%100%+94 pts
20 to 40¢1732%
40 to 60¢4750%
60 to 80¢4671%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢82897%97%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $15249100%+$36
$16 to $4924992%-$26
$49 to $9924896%+$3
$99 to $5.8K248100%+$299

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies48671%-$30
Weather199100%+$42
World politics74100%+$8
Tech and AI40100%+$151
US politics28100%+$45
US elections26+$0

Side taken

Yes 23%77% No

If you had copied Nostrafakus

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1711
Profit
on $6100 staked
59-2
Record
97% win rate
+28%
Return
163 still open
Profit over time61 settled trades
+$1.7K+$0
Jun 29Sep 28
-$200
Max drawdown
96% below peak
8.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
9.56×
Profit factor
$1.9K won vs $200 lost
+4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
97% won at 93¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
2 trades

By category

finance7 settled+213%
crypto6 settled+4%
culture40 settled+4%
politics8 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

97 open positions worth $20.6K

The markets Nostrafakus is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Nostrafakus is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026?
Oct 1, 2 fills
No94¢$101Open
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Oct 1
No99¢$32Open
Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Oct 1
No99¢$27Open
See every position across 548 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?
    $2.7K on Yes at 97¢, Sep 9
    +$97
  2. 2
    Astra removed from public access by September 30?
    $2.1K on No at 97¢, Sep 26
    +$65
  3. 3
    Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
    $1.4K on Yes at 96¢, Sep 22
    +$58
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 57°F or below on June 1?99¢2+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?100¢1+$0
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?97¢6100%+$97
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 24?100¢1+$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 27?100¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$8
Sep 2026+$291
Oct 2026+$13

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