rivomarkets

0x45e6…8fca

0x45e606f7849330adad37875f835fbdd1b7868fca

+$2.0K
Tracked Trades
1,007
First Seen
Jun 27, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Weather
100% won · 21 settled · +$1.8K

0x45e6…8fca is a Polymarket trader with 1,007 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 81 wins and 38 losses on settled markets, $2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 3? on Oct 2.

Win rate
68%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$56.5K
Typical trade
$3
Avg entry
84¢
Polymarket rank
#2,121

Profit over time

+$2.0K+$0
Jul 1Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢19211%23%+12 pts
20 to 40¢26930%40%+10 pts
40 to 60¢14148%67%+18 pts
60 to 80¢9469%92%+22 pts
Over 80¢31194%98%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225229%+$24
$2 to $3252+$0
$3 to $525281%+$3
$5 to $1.0K251100%+$2.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather592100%+$1.8K
Esports18+$0
World politics5785%+$99
Tech and AI15051%+$11
Companies7844%-$1
US elections24+$0

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied 0x45e6…8fca

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$3854
Profit
on $11700 staked
79-38
Record
68% win rate
+33%
Return
646 still open
Profit over time117 settled trades
+$4.5K+$0
Jul 6Sep 28
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
27% below peak
3.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.01×
Profit factor
$7.7K won vs $3.8K lost
+10.2 pts
Edge vs implied
68% won at 57¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
19 trades

By category

politics20 settled+94%
finance27 settled+29%
culture69 settled+17%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

524 open positions worth $36.0K

The markets 0x45e6…8fca is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 0x45e6…8fca is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 3?
Oct 2
No99¢$53+$1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 2?
Oct 2, 2 fills
No86¢$1.2K+$198
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 2?
Oct 2
No95¢$478+$23
See every position across 769 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 11?
    $2.0K on No at 73¢, Sep 10
    +$724
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 27?
    $2.0K on No at 86¢, Aug 27
    +$317
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?
    $1.7K on No at 88¢, Sep 17
    +$226
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 29?98¢2100%+$49
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 27?86¢2100%+$317
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 11?73¢2100%+$724
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 2?95¢2100%+$114
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?88¢2100%+$226

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$9
Aug 2026+$454
Sep 2026+$1.3K
Oct 2026+$223

Similar Polymarket traders

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