rivomarkets
Polymarket

myfirstd

0x4c48e79c441db833e630257a7f09c652af591c17

+$1.9K
Tracked Trades
1,004
First Seen
Jul 18, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026
Best In Weather
72% won · 101 settled · +$1.5K

myfirstd is a Polymarket trader with 1,004 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 134 wins and 44 losses on settled markets, $1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 1? on Oct 1.

Win rate
75%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$84.8K
Typical trade
$46
Avg entry
72¢
Polymarket rank
#1,885

Profit over time

+$1.9K-$422
Aug 24Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7410%25%+15 pts
20 to 40¢12531%47%+16 pts
40 to 60¢9350%54%+4 pts
60 to 80¢21071%77%+6 pts
Over 80¢50092%85%-7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2525144%-$70
$25 to $4625176%+$114
$46 to $9725073%+$661
$97 to $1.0K25088%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather87473%+$1.6K
Soccer12880%+$269

Side taken

Yes 29%71% No

If you had copied myfirstd

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$959
Profit
on $17700 staked
134-43
Record
76% win rate
+5%
Return
637 still open
Profit over time177 settled trades
+$959-$106
Jul 13Sep 28
-$836
Max drawdown
324% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22×
Profit factor
$5.3K won vs $4.3K lost
+1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
76% won at 74¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
44 trades

By category

sports75 settled+8%
culture102 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

371 open positions worth $45.2K

The markets myfirstd is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what myfirstd is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 1?
Oct 1
No99¢$144+$2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?
Oct 1
No71¢$258+$104
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1?
Oct 1, 2 fills
No83¢sold 82¢$290+$60
See every position across 586 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 29?
    $83 on Yes at 16¢, Sep 29
    +$433
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 12?
    $196 on No at 35¢, Sep 12
    +$357
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?
    $1.2K on No at 85¢, Sep 21
    +$207
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17?95¢4100%+$37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 30?98¢4100%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 22?99¢3+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18?94¢3100%+$78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?85¢2100%+$207

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$202
Sep 2026+$1.9K
Oct 2026+$217

How they build positions

Trimmed a position100%

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