rivomarkets

underwaterdruid

0x73e0ccf58caf8a62eeb2970645dce32d0978e538

+$353
Tracked Trades
1,001
First Seen
Sep 28, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Weather
94% won · 828 settled · +$339

underwaterdruid is a Polymarket trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 791 wins and 51 losses on settled markets, $353 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 2? on Oct 2.

Win rate
94%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$40.2K
Typical trade
$30
Avg entry
95¢
Polymarket rank
#2,924

Profit over time

+$343+$0
Sep 28Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢8230%45%+15 pts
40 to 60¢2948%48%+0 pts
60 to 80¢170%
Over 80¢71999%100%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1020883%+$135
$10 to $3020889%+$86
$30 to $60208100%+$65
$60 to $599207100%+$57

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather81993%+$332
Other politics5100%+$5
World politics7100%+$7

Side taken

Yes 23%77% No

If you had copied underwaterdruid

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$3414
Profit
on $76200 staked
711-51
Record
93% win rate
+4%
Return
66 still open
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
43% below peak
2.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.67×
Profit factor
$8.5K won vs $5.1K lost
+1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
93% won at 92¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
146 trades

By category

culture750 settled+5%
politics12 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

43 open positions worth $3.1K

The markets underwaterdruid is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what underwaterdruid is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 3?
Oct 2
No99¢$29Open
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 3?
Oct 2
No91¢$64Open
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 2?
Oct 2
No99¢$12+$0
See every position across 515 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 2?
    $57 on Yes at 38¢, Oct 2
    +$93
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?
    $105 on Yes at 55¢, Oct 2
    +$86
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 2?
    $51 on Yes at 39¢, Oct 1
    +$79
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?100¢2100%+$3
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?99¢5100%+$9
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 30?100¢1+$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 1?100¢4100%+$1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1?100¢1100%+$1

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$232
Oct 2026+$111

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