rivomarkets

plm15

0x7bbe0987962a6cd2728d1656e0465e7fa8cab95e

+$167
Tracked Trades
1,001
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026
Best In Weather
58% won · 177 settled · +$167

plm15 is a Polymarket trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 103 wins and 74 losses on settled markets, $167 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1? on Oct 1.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$44.3K
Typical trade
$30
Avg entry
57¢
Polymarket rank
#2,367

Profit over time

+$415-$287
Aug 22Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢768%25%+17 pts
20 to 40¢11731%38%+7 pts
40 to 60¢18250%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢18269%69%-1 pts
Over 80¢44495%89%-7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1225141%+$8
$12 to $3025050%-$29
$30 to $6825071%+$361
$68 to $27925066%-$173

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather100158%+$167

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied plm15

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$872
Profit
on $17700 staked
103-74
Record
58% win rate
+5%
Return
456 still open
Profit over time177 settled trades
+$1.2K-$350
Aug 17Sep 28
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
76% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$8.3K won vs $7.4K lost
+1.7 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 56¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
24 trades

By category

culture177 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

166 open positions worth $8.3K

The markets plm15 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what plm15 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1?
Oct 1, 2 fills
Yes71¢$38+$16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?
Oct 1
Yes66¢$67+$34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1?
Oct 1
Yes64¢$38+$21
See every position across 468 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?
    $98 on No at 25¢, Sep 21
    +$288
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 29?
    $100 on Yes at 32¢, Sep 29
    +$212
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 29?
    $75 on Yes at 38¢, Sep 29
    +$121
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?30¢575%+$221
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 29?32¢4100%+$212
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?52¢625%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 20?49¢3+$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20?45¢4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$119
Sep 2026+$263
Oct 2026+$23

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