rivomarkets

almost-never

0x88b59d79b6e1659c95a0043028e5bb7a26e6205c

+$55.4K
Tracked Trades
106
First Seen
Sep 13, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Best In World politics
99% won · 97 settled · +$51.5K

almost-never is a Polymarket trader with 106 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 100 wins and 1 losses on settled markets, $55.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House on Sep 28.

Win rate
99%
Return on settled
+327%
Money traded
$26.3K
Typical trade
$977
Avg entry
75¢
Polymarket rank
#425

Profit over time

+$758-$130
Sep 13Sep 16

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
40 to 60¢144%0%-44 pts
60 to 80¢261%
Over 80¢1290%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$615 to $7284100%+$319
$743 to $977475%-$484
$1.3K to $1.8K4100%+$651
$4.3K to $4.7K3100%+$228

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics1392%+$713
US elections2+$0

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied almost-never

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$36
Profit
on $1300 staked
12-1
Record
92% win rate
+3%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time13 settled trades
+$36+$0
Sep 7Sep 28

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 13 so far.

By category

politics13 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $9.3K

The markets almost-never is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what almost-never is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Sep 28, 2 fills
Yes61¢$9.3KOpen
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Sep 16, 5 fills
No92¢$10.6K+$878
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Sep 16, 4 fills
Yes88¢$3.4K+$482
See every position across 6 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    $10.6K on No at 92¢, Sep 16
    +$878
  2. 2
    Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    $3.4K on Yes at 88¢, Sep 16
    +$482
  3. 3
    Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
    $743 on Yes at 90¢, Sep 13
    +$85
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?92¢5100%+$878
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House61¢2+$0
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?73¢580%-$406
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?90¢1100%+$85
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?91¢1100%+$72

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$713

How they build positions

Added to a position67%
Opened a new position33%

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