rivomarkets

averagerandomman

0x8970b56535153baadee991ca25a178ac085636b5

+$3.4K
Tracked Trades
1,108
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
57% won · 692 settled · +$2.7K

averagerandomman is a Polymarket trader with 1,108 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 565 wins and 405 losses on settled markets, $3.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 2? on Oct 2.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$162.2K
Typical trade
$68
Avg entry
62¢
Polymarket rank
#1,903

Profit over time

+$4.1K-$944
Aug 21Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3252%1%-1 pts
20 to 40¢825%88%+63 pts
40 to 60¢949%44%-5 pts
60 to 80¢1674%31%-43 pts
Over 80¢46097%100%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $32051%-$305
$3 to $6820537%-$764
$70 to $29520497%+$1.3K
$300 to $1.1K20498%+$3.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin62257%+$3.0K
Ethereum19660%+$568

Side taken

Yes 42%58% No

If you had copied averagerandomman

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$27104
Profit
on $78400 staked
451-333
Record
58% win rate
-35%
Return
34 still open
Profit over time784 settled trades
+$502-$27.1K
Aug 17Sep 28
-$28.7K
Max drawdown
4748% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.19×
Profit factor
$6.2K won vs $33.3K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 57¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
695 trades

By category

crypto784 settled-35%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

20 open positions worth $4.3K

The markets averagerandomman is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what averagerandomman is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 2?
Oct 2
Yes99¢$158+$2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 2?
Oct 2
No9¢$14+$146
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2?
Oct 2, 5 fills
No90¢$494+$57
See every position across 137 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?
    $2.5K on Yes at 71¢, Sep 30
    +$1.0K
  2. 2
    Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 28?
    $1.5K on Yes at 66¢, Sep 28
    +$794
  3. 3
    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?
    $4.6K on No at 86¢, Sep 16
    +$719
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?62¢3959%+$402
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 1?55¢4255%-$138
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 1?100¢10100%+$24
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 21?98¢6100%+$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1?41¢3342%-$25

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$871
Sep 2026+$4.1K
Oct 2026+$389

Similar Polymarket traders

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