rivomarkets
Polymarket

taut-dogwood

0x8debd189ffd74160f25e367bafaed61a9fea7062

+$85
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 18, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
100% won · 23 settled · +$85

taut-dogwood is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 23 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $85 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? on Oct 1.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$361.1K
Typical trade
$63
Avg entry
99¢
Polymarket rank
#2,433

Profit over time

+$85+$0
Sep 8Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢37%
20 to 40¢833%
40 to 60¢1247%
60 to 80¢2668%
Over 80¢95198%100%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $19250100%+$2
$19 to $63250100%+$7
$63 to $213250100%+$53
$216 to $14K250100%+$23

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates733100%+$85
Economic data65+$0
World politics43+$0
Commodities43+$0
Parlays84+$0
Stocks and indices19+$0

Side taken

Yes 45%55% No

If you had copied taut-dogwood

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$72
Profit
on $2300 staked
23-0
Record
100% win rate
+3%
Return
107 still open
Profit over time23 settled trades
+$72+$0
Jun 29Sep 28
None
Max drawdown
never fell below its peak
—
Return / drawdown
no dip to weigh against
—
Profit factor
nothing lost yet
+2.9 pts
Edge vs implied
100% won at 97¢ avg
Longest losing streak
0
Deepest drawdown
0 trades

By category

finance23 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

32 open positions worth $19.2K

The markets taut-dogwood is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what taut-dogwood is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
Oct 1, 4 fills
No96¢$605Open
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Sep 30
No100¢$20Open
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Sep 29
No100¢$165+$0
See every position across 270 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $296 on Yes at 88¢, Sep 15
    +$40
  2. 2
    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $10.0K on No at 100¢, Sep 16
    +$10
  3. 3
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $918 on No at 99¢, Sep 16
    +$7
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?100¢7+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?99¢16+$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?97¢19+$0
Macron out by October 31, 2025?100¢1+$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?99¢14+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$85

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