rivomarkets

PunxsutawneyPhil

0x8e22f7e80a03a36c80a7fe545369f008fc1e3061

+$416
Tracked Trades
999
First Seen
Nov 4, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Best In Weather
23% won · 26 settled · +$426

PunxsutawneyPhil is a Polymarket trader with 999 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 21 losses on settled markets, $416 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 28? on Sep 28.

Win rate
22%
Return on settled
+108%
Money traded
$29.4K
Typical trade
$9
Avg entry
9¢
Polymarket rank
#2,222

Profit over time

+$682+$0
Sep 1Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7847%26%+19 pts
20 to 40¢12327%0%-27 pts
40 to 60¢4550%
60 to 80¢2968%
Over 80¢1894%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425017%+$35
$4 to $925033%+$189
$10 to $2225017%+$124
$22 to $2.8K24917%+$68

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather91923%+$426
World politics14+$0
Soccer80%-$10
Bitcoin21+$0
Other politics34+$0
Commodities3+$0

Side taken

Yes 96%4% No

If you had copied PunxsutawneyPhil

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$5571
Profit
on $2700 staked
6-21
Record
22% win rate
+206%
Return
219 still open
Profit over time27 settled trades
+$6.5K+$0
Jun 29Sep 28
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
21% below peak
3.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.65×
Profit factor
$7.7K won vs $2.1K lost
+8.9 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 13¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
15 trades

By category

culture26 settled+218%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

77 open positions worth $2.1K

The markets PunxsutawneyPhil is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what PunxsutawneyPhil is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 28?
Sep 28, 4 fills
Yes22¢$98-$98
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 27?
Sep 27
Yes7¢$10-$10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 16?
Sep 16, 3 fills
Yes11¢$14-$14
See every position across 330 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?
    $74 on Yes at 10¢, Sep 1
    +$682
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 3?
    $2 on Yes at 5¢, Sep 3
    +$45
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US forces enter Iran by December 31?65¢5+$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?52¢2+$0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?41¢6+$0
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?1+$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 11?36¢25+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$416

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