rivomarkets

Stats as of

3999

0x9a18f7d7ec2843f31fc7ee085ba99654e8a6badc

+$428
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Dec 14, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 10, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
46% won · 26 settled · +$428

3999 is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 12 wins and 14 losses on settled markets, $428 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET on Oct 10.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
+19%
Money traded
$6.5K
Typical trade
$3
Avg entry
40¢
Polymarket rank
#2,929

Profit over time

+$494-$69
Oct 7Oct 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2072%0%-2 pts
20 to 40¢1930%50%+20 pts
40 to 60¢70750%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢1768%100%+32 pts
Over 80¢5093%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $22500%-$4
$2 to $3250+$0
$3 to $3250+$0
$3 to $14325050%+$433

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin51346%+$428
Solana223+$0
Ethereum259+$0
XRP5+$0

Side taken

Yes 0%100% No

If you had copied 3999

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$294
Profit
on $2600 staked
12-14
Record
46% win rate
-11%
Return
9 still open
-$650
Max drawdown
536% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.79×
Profit factor
$1.1K won vs $1.4K lost
+5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 41¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
17 trades

By category

crypto26 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $597

The markets 3999 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 3999 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Oct 9, 2 fills
Down46¢$203+$239
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Oct 9
Down59¢$130-$130
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Oct 8
Down51¢$113-$113
See every position across 934 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
    $203 on Down at 46¢, Oct 9
    +$239
  2. 2
    Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
    $230 on Down at 52¢, Oct 8
    +$212
  3. 3
    Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
    $266 on Up at 60¢, Oct 8
    +$176
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET39¢4+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET42¢367%+$167
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET60¢2100%+$175
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET52¢20%-$232
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET52¢2100%+$212

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 13Oct 10

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$428

Similar Polymarket traders

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