rivomarkets

PaddyAlpha

0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d

+$4.0K
Tracked Trades
1,030
First Seen
Jul 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 4, 2026
Best In World politics
53% won · 96 settled · +$4.2K

PaddyAlpha is a Polymarket trader with 1,030 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 116 wins and 89 losses on settled markets, $4.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? on Oct 4.

Win rate
57%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$140.5K
Typical trade
$30
Avg entry
48¢
Polymarket rank
#1,859

Profit over time

+$4.0K-$1.1K
Jul 22Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3659%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢16130%38%+8 pts
40 to 60¢7750%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢15370%81%+11 pts
Over 80¢27490%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $925821%-$10
$9 to $3025844%-$118
$30 to $11025754%+$616
$111 to $5.0K25786%+$3.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics42753%+$4.2K
Companies10820%-$160
Other crypto6282%+$336
Entertainment16364%-$421
Tech and AI7185%+$294
XRP3+$0

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied PaddyAlpha

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2892
Profit
on $20500 staked
116-89
Record
57% win rate
+14%
Return
540 still open
Profit over time205 settled trades
+$2.9K-$977
Jul 20Sep 28
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
239% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.32×
Profit factor
$11.8K won vs $8.9K lost
+5.7 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
128 trades

By category

culture202 settled+15%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

228 open positions worth $71.7K

The markets PaddyAlpha is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what PaddyAlpha is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
Sep 29
Yes11¢$14-$14
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Sep 29
Sold Nosold 36¢$72Exited
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Sep 29, 22 fills
Yes42¢sold 52¢$498Exited
See every position across 304 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
    $722 on Yes at 22¢, Sep 22
    +$2.5K
  2. 2
    Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
    $140 on Yes at 8¢, Aug 30
    +$1.6K
  3. 3
    Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
    $128 on Yes at 11¢, Sep 18
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?90¢14+$0
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?99¢3100%+$90
Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?90¢3+$0
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?56¢40+$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?50¢14+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 7Oct 4

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$207
Aug 2026+$345
Sep 2026+$3.4K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position100%

Similar Polymarket traders

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