rivomarkets

Stats as of

tinman2

0x9baebe30d1cefe0ac5be4be85189c9fa33e95d34

+$170
Tracked Trades
1,032
First Seen
Jul 1, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
84% won · 25 settled · +$617

tinman2 is a Polymarket trader with 1,032 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 124 wins and 103 losses on settled markets, $170 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? on Oct 14.

Win rate
55%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$123.8K
Typical trade
$18
Avg entry
63¢
Polymarket rank
#3,409

Profit over time

+$898-$374
Jul 8Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12212%12%+0 pts
20 to 40¢22129%30%+0 pts
40 to 60¢21249%51%+1 pts
60 to 80¢19871%45%-26 pts
Over 80¢27991%97%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $625849%+$52
$6 to $1825830%-$46
$18 to $4425844%-$775
$44 to $4.9K25892%+$939

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates27084%+$617
NBA1850%+$3
World politics26053%-$267
Companies10670%+$94
Economic data820%-$13
US elections33100%+$39

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied tinman2

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$658
Profit
on $22600 staked
124-102
Record
55% win rate
-3%
Return
722 still open
Profit over time226 settled trades
+$749-$1.4K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
134% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.94×
Profit factor
$9.5K won vs $10.2K lost
-3.9 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 59¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
64 trades

By category

culture6 settled+193%
finance61 settled+19%
sports45 settled-13%
politics114 settled-21%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

342 open positions worth $94.1K

The markets tinman2 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what tinman2 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?
Oct 2
Yes89¢$27+$3
See every position across 462 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $1.7K on Yes at 81¢, Sep 11
    +$400
  2. 2
    US x China tariff agreement by September 30?
    $1.5K on Yes at 85¢, Sep 26
    +$263
  3. 3
    California vs. Syracuse
    $137 on California at 38¢, Sep 12
    +$223
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?51¢23+$0
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?82¢3+$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?90¢9+$0
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 202695¢9+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?99¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$195
Aug 2026+$82
Sep 2026+$394
Oct 2026-$112

How they build positions

Added to a position50%
Opened a new position50%

Polymarket leaderboards

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