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Stats as of

oliveBear

0x9c57012d4dea9303d310381f6d3a5f9f6d967db2

+$57.5K
Tracked Trades
188
First Seen
Aug 24, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026
Best In Esports
71% won · 188 settled · +$57.5K

oliveBear is a Polymarket trader with 188 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 133 wins and 55 losses on settled markets, $57.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs mellren - Map 1 Winner on Oct 14.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
+25%
Money traded
$232.3K
Typical trade
$895.19
Avg entry
57¢
Polymarket rank
#635

Profit over time

+$59.0K+$0.00
Aug 24Oct 14

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢2534%52%+18 pts
40 to 60¢8250%60%+9 pts
60 to 80¢5970%83%+13 pts
Over 80¢2286%100%+14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $6234774%+$12.5K
$623 to $8954762%+$3.4K
$896 to $1.6K4762%+$1.5K
$1.6K to $5.4K4785%+$40.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports18871%+$57.5K

If you had copied oliveBear

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$948.36
Profit
on $5,200.00 staked
35-17
Record
67% win rate
+18%
Return
Profit over time52 settled trades
+$948.36+$0.00
Aug 24Oct 12
-$267.85
Max drawdown
29% below peak
3.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.56×
Profit factor
$2.6K won vs $1.7K lost
+10.1 pts
Edge vs implied
67% won at 57¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
7 trades

By category

sports51 settled+16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs mellren - Map 1 Winner
Oct 14, 6 fills
mellren54¢$8.0K+$6.8K
Dota 2: The Warriors vs Shadow Dance - Game 2 Winner
Oct 14, 2 fills
Shadow Dance50¢$1.1K+$1.1K
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage
Oct 14, 3 fills
mellren45¢$3.0K-$3.0K
See every position across 47 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Counter-Strike: mellren vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group B
    $13.0K on megoshort at 44¢, Sep 26
    +$16.7K
  2. 2
    Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
    $7.9K on mellren at 42¢, Oct 6
    +$11.2K
  3. 3
    Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
    $6.5K on Under at 44¢, Sep 26
    +$8.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Counter-Strike: PsychoFace vs mellren (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs75¢14100%+$6.6K
Counter-Strike: mellren vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group B39¢875%+$14.7K
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C56¢1217%-$7.0K
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Play-In80¢9100%+$3.2K
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs MORROW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs60¢8100%+$8.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$2.7K
Sep 2026+$41.5K
Oct 2026+$13.3K

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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