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Stats as of
oliveBear
0x9c57012d4dea9303d310381f6d3a5f9f6d967db2
+$57.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 188
- First Seen
- Aug 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Esports
- 71% won · 188 settled · +$57.5K
oliveBear is a Polymarket trader with 188 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 133 wins and 55 losses on settled markets, $57.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs mellren - Map 1 Winner on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 71%
- Return on settled
- +25%
- Money traded
- $232.3K
- Typical trade
- $895.19
- Avg entry
- 57¢
- Polymarket rank
- #635
Profit over time
+$59.0K+$0.00
Aug 24Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢2534%52%+18 pts
40 to 60¢8250%60%+9 pts
60 to 80¢5970%83%+13 pts
Over 80¢2286%100%+14 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$500 to $6234774%+$12.5K
$623 to $8954762%+$3.4K
$896 to $1.6K4762%+$1.5K
$1.6K to $5.4K4785%+$40.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Esports18871%+$57.5K
If you had copied oliveBear
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$948.36
Profit
on $5,200.00 staked
35-17
Record
67% win rate
+18%
Return
+$948.36+$0.00
Aug 24Oct 12
-$267.85
Max drawdown
29% below peak
3.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.56×
Profit factor
$2.6K won vs $1.7K lost
+10.1 pts
Edge vs implied
67% won at 57¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 2
- Deepest drawdown
- 7 trades
By category
sports51 settled+16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs mellren - Map 1 Winner
Oct 14, 6 fills
Dota 2: The Warriors vs Shadow Dance - Game 2 Winner
Oct 14, 2 fills
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage
Oct 14, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$16.7KCounter-Strike: mellren vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group B$13.0K on megoshort at 44¢, Sep 26
- 2+$11.2KCounter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B$7.9K on mellren at 42¢, Oct 6
- 3+$8.3KMap 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$6.5K on Under at 44¢, Sep 26
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Counter-Strike: PsychoFace vs mellren (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs75¢14100%+$6.6K
Counter-Strike: mellren vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group B39¢875%+$14.7K
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C56¢1217%-$7.0K
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Play-In80¢9100%+$3.2K
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs MORROW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs60¢8100%+$8.1K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$2.7K
Sep 2026+$41.5K
Oct 2026+$13.3K
How they build positions
Opened a new position100%
Polymarket leaderboards
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