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Stats as of

Vagabund97

0xa53ba9d683f68602ccd767512d5c862a43824021

+$5.5K
Tracked Trades
1,005
First Seen
May 15, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 8, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
59% won · 34 settled · +$4.3K

Vagabund97 is a Polymarket trader with 1,005 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 59 losses on settled markets, $5.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 8? on Oct 8.

Win rate
42%
Return on settled
+72%
Money traded
$99.1K
Typical trade
$51
Avg entry
32¢
Polymarket rank
#6,518

Profit over time

+$5.8K-$504
Jun 11Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢20412%18%+6 pts
20 to 40¢30130%53%+24 pts
40 to 60¢30149%56%+7 pts
60 to 80¢14669%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢5389%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2025232%+$165
$20 to $5125132%+$1.1K
$51 to $12225142%+$776
$122 to $1.9K25171%+$3.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Commodities52914%-$1.4K
Other crypto16089%+$1.6K
Fed and rates16259%+$4.3K
Currencies5755%+$116
Bitcoin4515%+$377
Stocks and indices310%-$18

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied Vagabund97

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$9143
Profit
on $9800 staked
40-58
Record
41% win rate
+93%
Return
257 still open
Profit over time98 settled trades
+$9.9K-$357
Jul 13Oct 5
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
12% below peak
7.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.58×
Profit factor
$14.9K won vs $5.8K lost
+13.4 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 27¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
23 trades

By category

crypto32 settled+111%
finance65 settled+88%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

129 open positions worth $21.8K

The markets Vagabund97 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Vagabund97 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 8?
Oct 8
Sold Nosold 48¢$667Exited
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?
Oct 2
Sold Nosold 48¢$513Exited
Will Cap reach $0.10 before 2027?
Oct 1, 5 fills
Yes18¢$137+$636
See every position across 344 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?
    $149 on Yes at 9¢, Sep 23
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
    $719 on Yes at 33¢, Sep 23
    +$1.5K
  3. 3
    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?
    $156 on Yes at 14¢, Sep 23
    +$972
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?48¢19+$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?36¢19+$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?30¢16+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?43¢17+$0
Will BNB dip to $600 in June?33¢7+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 11Oct 8

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$158
Jul 2026-$60
Aug 2026+$101
Sep 2026+$5.5K
Oct 2026-$214

How they build positions

Trimmed a position100%

Similar Polymarket traders

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