rivomarkets
Polymarket

nellojello

0xa8ae9f8f2a92cb27a73791bb816e65071ca38eb7

+$4.5K
Tracked Trades
692
First Seen
Jan 12, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In Weather
100% won · 24 settled · +$2.6K

nellojello is a Polymarket trader with 692 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 52 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $4.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? on Sep 29.

Win rate
63%
Return on settled
+28%
Money traded
$191.8K
Typical trade
$107
Avg entry
38¢
Polymarket rank
#1,592

Profit over time

+$4.7K-$1.7K
Mar 5Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1238%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢9630%46%+16 pts
40 to 60¢12350%83%+33 pts
60 to 80¢15669%77%+8 pts
Over 80¢17089%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4116737%-$54
$41 to $10716761%+$476
$107 to $30016783%+$2.3K
$300 to $8.9K16780%+$1.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics21363%+$887
Economic data38100%+$31
Commodities7960%+$1.8K
Companies4438%+$702
Tech and AI10100%+$12
Weather67100%+$2.6K

Side taken

Yes 38%62% No

If you had copied nellojello

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1881
Profit
on $7900 staked
52-27
Record
66% win rate
+24%
Return
224 still open
Profit over time79 settled trades
+$2.1K-$429
Jun 29Sep 28
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
56% below peak
1.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.70×
Profit factor
$4.6K won vs $2.7K lost
+16.0 pts
Edge vs implied
66% won at 50¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
22 trades

By category

culture27 settled+83%
finance31 settled-2%
politics17 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

97 open positions worth $48.5K

The markets nellojello is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what nellojello is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Sep 29, 5 fills
No44¢$1.8K+$2.2K
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
Sep 28, 6 fills
No15¢sold 14¢$423-$423
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
Sep 27, 5 fills
No29¢$659Open
See every position across 301 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
    $1.8K on No at 44¢, Sep 29
    +$2.2K
  2. 2
    Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?
    $2.5K on Yes at 57¢, Aug 28
    +$1.9K
  3. 3
    Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
    $1.1K on No at 44¢, Aug 31
    +$1.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?73¢5+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?83¢9+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?84¢4+$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?81¢7+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?79¢3+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$30
Jul 2026+$150
Aug 2026+$2.4K
Sep 2026+$2.1K

How they build positions

Closed a position50%
Trimmed a position50%

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