rivomarkets

Kactus

0xadf18a599d0c73e432d042ad6d922051ae796460

+$332
Tracked Trades
1,001
First Seen
Jul 25, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026

Kactus is a Polymarket trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 17 wins and 10 losses on settled markets, $332 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30? on Sep 30.

Win rate
63%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$25.7K
Typical trade
$14
Avg entry
57¢
Polymarket rank
#2,100

Profit over time

+$332-$4
Sep 1Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2247%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢12629%50%+21 pts
40 to 60¢17351%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢14369%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢33593%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $525133%-$3
$5 to $1425043%-$31
$15 to $28250100%+$0
$28 to $800250100%+$366

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Mentions75080%+$23
Tennis4100%+$218
Bitcoin180%-$1
US politics119+$0
Esports2143%+$22
Weather11100%+$57

Side taken

Yes 43%57% No

If you had copied Kactus

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$408
Profit
on $2700 staked
17-10
Record
63% win rate
-15%
Return
566 still open
Profit over time27 settled trades
+$0-$619
Jul 20Sep 28
-$619
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.59×
Profit factor
$592 won vs $1.0K lost
+6.5 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 56¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
16 trades

By category

culture8 settled+35%
sports9 settled-28%
politics9 settled-37%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

186 open positions worth $10.8K

The markets Kactus is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Kactus is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?
Sep 30
No99¢$18+$0
Will no episode air?
Sep 29, 5 fills
No91¢$245Open
Will "Smartphone" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Sep 29
No89¢$80Open
See every position across 242 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Plovdiv 3: Massimo Giunta vs Dusan Obradovic
    $1.6K on Dusan Obradovic at 88¢, Sep 2
    +$218
  2. 2
    Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
    $234 on Yes at 82¢, Sep 6
    +$51
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?
    $543 on Yes at 92¢, Sep 6
    +$46
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Plovdiv 3: Massimo Giunta vs Dusan Obradovic88¢2100%+$218
Will no Rogan episode air?69¢54+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET98¢2+$0
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?73¢33+$0
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?84¢26+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$332

Similar Polymarket traders

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