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Stats as of

CaptainCoinflip

0xb8fe807aa951e35af53fd0fee36abc303864ce76

-$14.3K
Tracked Trades
1,005
First Seen
Apr 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In Companies
70% won · 30 settled · +$1.1K

CaptainCoinflip is a Polymarket trader with 1,005 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 541 wins and 209 losses on settled markets, -$14.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? on Oct 15.

Win rate
72%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$718.2K
Typical trade
$112
Avg entry
72¢
Polymarket rank
#7,296

Profit over time

+$3.5K-$21.1K
Apr 12Oct 11

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2238%8%+0 pts
20 to 40¢9328%8%-19 pts
40 to 60¢4447%50%+3 pts
60 to 80¢4070%73%+3 pts
Over 80¢60596%99%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2725246%-$427
$28 to $11225167%+$17
$113 to $50025176%-$7.8K
$500 to $31K25191%-$6.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics51175%-$10.3K
Weather27289%+$1.0K
Commodities11417%-$5.8K
Ethereum17100%+$59
Companies4370%+$1.1K
US elections650%-$160

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied CaptainCoinflip

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$3427
Profit
on $16800 staked
117-51
Record
70% win rate
+20%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time168 settled trades
+$3.4K-$3.7K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$4.1K
Max drawdown
1182035% below peak
0.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.67×
Profit factor
$8.5K won vs $5.1K lost
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
70% won at 68¢ avg
Longest losing streak
24
Deepest drawdown
157 trades

By category

culture53 settled+124%
politics94 settled-11%
finance19 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $6.5K

The markets CaptainCoinflip is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what CaptainCoinflip is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Oct 11, 2 fills
Yes95¢$3.7K+$196
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?
Sep 30, 4 fills
No8¢sold 100¢$20+$222
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?
Sep 30, 3 fills
Yes7¢$7+$90
See every position across 237 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
    $500 on Yes at 9¢, Jun 16
    +$4.8K
  2. 2
    Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
    $800 on Yes at 30¢, May 26
    +$1.9K
  3. 3
    US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $19.8K on Yes at 92¢, Jun 15
    +$1.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?99¢7100%+$299
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?98¢6100%+$384
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?92¢4100%+$1.8K
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?100¢1100%+$62
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?99¢60%-$14.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$1.7K
May 2026-$22.3K
Jun 2026+$6.2K
Jul 2026+$103
Aug 2026+$55
Sep 2026-$221
Oct 2026+$196

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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