rivomarkets
Polymarket

2Sherlock

0xbd81954a4ebce3a843feb3fc6ebf439cf1c6006d

+$1.3K
Tracked Trades
71
First Seen
Mar 29, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026

2Sherlock is a Polymarket trader with 71 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 3 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? on Oct 2.

Win rate
67%
Return on settled
+88%
Money traded
$48.6K
Typical trade
$98
Avg entry
77¢
Polymarket rank
#2,292

Profit over time

+$1.3K-$320
Sep 27Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢148%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢731%67%+36 pts
40 to 60¢848%67%+19 pts
60 to 80¢867%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢3493%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $2718+$0
$32 to $981860%+$159
$100 to $3281875%+$1.1K
$333 to $10K17+$0

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies13100%+$5
Other crypto21+$0
World politics60%-$64
Tech and AI25100%+$1.4K
US elections1+$0
Entertainment250%-$78

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied 2Sherlock

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$612
Profit
on $900 staked
6-3
Record
67% win rate
+68%
Return
30 still open
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$612+$0
Jul 6Sep 28

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

culture5 settled+150%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

20 open positions worth $9.0K

The markets 2Sherlock is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 2Sherlock is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
Oct 2
No99¢$341Open
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
Sep 30, 2 fills
Yes36¢sold 44¢$25Reduced
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Sep 30
Yes95¢$97+$5
See every position across 41 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
    $802 on Yes at 37¢, Sep 30
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
    $65 on Yes at 24¢, Sep 27
    +$203
  3. 3
    Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?
    $96 on Yes at 64¢, Sep 28
    +$53
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?78¢9+$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100¢1+$0
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?100¢1+$0
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?37¢4100%+$1.4K
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?100¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.3K

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